Affirm Holdings Inc. (AFRM) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$74.84 +2.07% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Affirm Holdings Inc. (AFRM) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $25.36B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B+
Cash (13)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target
$95 Bull$78 Base$61 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:55% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
45% PutsMax Pain: $73.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
55% Calls / 45% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.83x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$73.00
-2.46% vs. current $74.84 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±6.8%
Expected event band around $74.84

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AFRM)

$65
6,200C / 11,800P
$70
6,200C / 11,800P
$75
14,500C / 11,800P
$80
14,500C / 5,100P
$85
14,500C / 5,100P
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading AFRM & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

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AFRM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.30%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $73.77H $74.14L $71.04C $73.47VOL 2.92M
RES: $95.45SUP: $68.67SMA50: $73.08SMA200: $66.52
$93.15$81.92$70.68$59.44$48.20RES $95.45SUP $68.67$73.472026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AFRM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +34.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AFRM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AFRM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AFRM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

AFRM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is AFRM's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in AFRM show 55% bullish call premium versus 45% put premium, centered near a $73 max-pain strike.