Affirm Holdings Inc. (AFRM) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$74.84 +2.07% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Affirm Holdings Inc. (AFRM) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $25.36B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B+
Cash (13)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4% Base Target
$95 Bull$78 Base$61 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:55% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
45% PutsMax Pain: $73.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How AFRM Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$601.7M (54% FCF Margin)
Revenue$1.11BGross Profit $490.1M (44%)Cost of Sales $623.8MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $490.1MNet Profit$52.2M (4.7%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $626.9M
FY24
Rev $826.0M
FY25
Rev $1.11B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$1.11B44%-7.8%$52.2M$601.7M-1.1%
FY 2024$826.0M44%-74.6%-$517.8M$290.8M-9.6%
FY 2023$626.9M44%-191.5%-$985.3M-$16.0M-11.3%
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring AFRM)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of AFRM's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
AFRM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.30%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $73.77H $74.14L $71.04C $73.47VOL 2.92M
RES: $95.45SUP: $68.67SMA50: $73.08SMA200: $66.52
$93.15$81.92$70.68$59.44$48.20RES $95.45SUP $68.67$73.472026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AFRM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +34.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AFRM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AFRM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AFRM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

AFRM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Affirm Holdings Inc. (AFRM)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), AFRM converted $1.1B of revenue into a 44% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $601.7M in free cash flow (54% FCF margin).