Apple Inc. (AAPL) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps
$348.91 +1.48% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot
Apple Inc. (AAPL) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $5.03T
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+14.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:68% Call Buyers ($63.3M)
32% PutsMax Pain: $295.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
68% Calls / 32% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 1.96x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$295.00
-15.45% vs. current $348.91 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±5.8%
Expected event band around $348.91
Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (AAPL)
$190
964C / 0P
$200
2,247C / 0P
$335
0C / 10,623P
$340
0C / 16,068P
$355
15,062C / 0P
$372.5
0C / 2,190P
Wide-Open Unusual Whale Options Sweep Tape (AAPL)
| Contract / Exp | Type | Strike | Vol / OI | $ Premium | IV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL261106P00320000EXP 2026-11-06 | PUT | $320 | 1.3x | $3.8M | 49.2% |
| AAPL261104C00355000EXP 2026-11-04 | CALL | $355 | 1.2x | $4.9M | 43.7% |
| AAPL261106P00335000EXP 2026-11-06 | PUT | $335 | 1.5x | $4.8M | 44.8% |
| AAPL261104P00340000EXP 2026-11-04 | PUT | $340 | 4x | $5.3M | 47.3% |
| AAPL261120P00327500EXP 2026-11-20 | PUT | $328 | 22.4x | $3.1M | 34.1% |
| AAPL261106P00340000EXP 2026-11-06 | PUT | $340 | 1.9x | $3.7M | 43.5% |
| AAPL261106C00347500EXP 2026-11-06 | CALL | $348 | 8.6x | $3.6M | 42.6% |
| AAPL261106P00342500EXP 2026-11-06 | PUT | $343 | 7.4x | $3.1M | 43% |
| AAPL290119C00200000EXP 2029-01-19 | CALL | $200 | 10.4x | $37.8M | 33.2% |
| AAPL261106P00372500EXP 2026-11-06 | PUT | $373 | 20x | $5.7M | 37.6% |
| AAPL290119C00190000EXP 2029-01-19 | CALL | $190 | 45.9x | $17.0M | 33.7% |
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AAPL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.02%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $343.9H $351.4L $334.4C $344.6VOL 228.82M
RES: $345.8SMA50: $333.0SMA200: $296.6
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
AAPL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
-2.62% YoY Shares
SEC XBRL FY2024 → FY2025: Net share cannibal / buyback tailwind.
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
29.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +14.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AAPL today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
TSM → AAPL Confirmed Filing
Apple sources 100% of custom A-series iPhone SoCs, M-series Mac/iPad processors, and Private Cloud Compute silicon from TSMC leading-edge 3nm (N3B/N3E) and upcoming 2nm nodes.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
💡 Starter Kit: Cash-Fortress Zero-Dilution Compounders (ellis-vennor)
🎬 Curated Video: How stretched are US Stock Valuations Really? Multiples vs. Cash Flow Reality (The Plain Bagel) →
AAPL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhat is AAPL's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?
Unusual options sweeps in AAPL show 68% bullish call premium versus 32% put premium, centered near a $295 max-pain strike.