Apple Inc. (AAPL) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$348.91 +1.48% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Apple Inc. (AAPL) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.03T
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+
Cash (15)Whales (8)SEC (16)Macro (11)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+14.9% Base Target
$439 Bull$401 Base$345 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:68% Call Buyers ($63.3M)
32% PutsMax Pain: $295.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How AAPL Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$98.77B (23.7% FCF Margin)
Revenue$416.16BGross Profit $195.20B (46.9%)Cost of Sales $220.96BOp Profit $133.05B (32%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $62.15BNet Profit$112.01B (26.9%)Tax/Other $21.04B

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY21
Rev $365.82B
FY22
Rev $394.33B
FY23
Rev $383.29B
FY24
Rev $391.04B
FY25
Rev $416.16B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$416.16B46.9%32%$112.01B$98.77B81.8%
FY 2024$391.04B46.2%31.5%$93.74B$108.81B78.7%
FY 2023$383.29B44.1%29.8%$97.00B$99.58B65.8%
FY 2022$394.33B43.3%30.3%$99.80B$111.44B68.8%
FY 2021$365.82B41.8%29.8%$94.68B$92.95B58.6%
FY 2020$274.51B38.2%24.1%$57.41B$73.36B38.9%
SEC 10-K YEAR-OVER-YEAR FINE-PRINT DIFF SCANNERRisk Trajectory: ESCALATING

In accession 0000320193-25-000079 (FY2025 10-K), Apple explicitly inserted forward-looking cautionary disclaimers specifically targeting tariffs and administrative trade measures, reflecting heightened sensitivity to bilateral geopolitical cross-pressures. Crucially, management altered its manufacturing concentration language from 'substantially all' offshore outsourcing to 'a significant majority' with an overt nod to domestic sourcing facilities, signaling forced capital redeployment and ongoing supply-chain re-architecting out of Greater China. Furthermore, legal counsel expanded Item 1A macro warnings directly to equity valuation ('stock price') while introducing safe-harbor protective fencing around historical vs. forward-looking risk materialization.

SUPPLY CHAIN GEOGRAPHIC CONCENTRATION & RESHORING (CRITICAL)

Management watered down 'substantially all' to 'a significant majority' and explicitly carved in U.S. partner facilities. This tactical edit confirms that Apple is aggressively accelerating capital expenditure and unit commitments away from pure China concentration toward higher-cost domestic and distributed packaging, introducing structurally higher per-unit assembly costs and initial production yield drag.

TARIFF EXPOSURE & FORWARD-LOOKING SAFE HARBOR EXPANSION (MEDIUM)

Legal counsel specifically singled out 'tariffs and other measures' inside the PSLRA safe-harbor preamble. This preemptive legal fence-building indicates that internal modeling shows incoming tariff actions pose imminent gross-margin degradation that management cannot fully pass through to consumers via hardware pricing.

EQUITY VOLATILITY & HISTORICAL RISK PRECEDENT DISCLAIMERS (MEDIUM)

The repetitive explicit insertion of 'and stock price' across primary macroeconomic headings, combined with new language stating disclosures 'are not representations as to whether such matters have or have not occurred previously,' limits shareholder class-action liability if delayed carrier upgrade cycles or tariff-induced EPS compression trigger sudden multiple contraction.

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AAPL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.02%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $343.9H $351.4L $334.4C $344.6VOL 228.82M
RES: $345.8SMA50: $333.0SMA200: $296.6
$358.4$330.9$303.4$276.0$248.5RES $345.8$344.62026-05-012026-06-122026-07-312026-09-112026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AAPL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
-2.62% YoY Shares

SEC XBRL FY2024 → FY2025: Net share cannibal / buyback tailwind.

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
29.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AAPL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →
TSM → AAPL Confirmed Filing
Apple sources 100% of custom A-series iPhone SoCs, M-series Mac/iPad processors, and Private Cloud Compute silicon from TSMC leading-edge 3nm (N3B/N3E) and upcoming 2nm nodes.

AAPL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Apple Inc. (AAPL)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), AAPL converted $416.2B of revenue into a 46.9% gross margin, 32% operating margin, and $98.8B in free cash flow (23.7% FCF margin).