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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$431.81 -1.75% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.24T

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:50% Call Buyers ($92.5M)

50% PutsMax Pain: $423.00

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

38.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.87>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE75% OF RANGE

L: $267$431.81H: $487

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (62% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 32 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on TSM

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

14.9% ROIC with 62.0% gross margin and 3.99% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 3.87 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (63)

Put/Call 1.00x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TSM

✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Trading Systems Desk

Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live TSM Tape Review)

✓Live breakdown of today’s highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts
✓1 urgent Red-Light accounting trap to cut from your watchlist immediately
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR

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TSM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.54%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $414.1H $418.1L $400.1C $406.1VOL 21.91M

RES: $489.9SUP: $355.8SMA50: $434.9SMA200: $400.2

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TSM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TSM Butterfly Map → + Track TSM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

15.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

TRIGGERED · CoWoS Leader Ascending Channel

Trigger: $425.33 • Invalidation: $402.45

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

TSM → AAPL Confirmed Filing

Apple sources 100% of custom A-series iPhone SoCs, M-series Mac/iPad processors, and Private Cloud Compute silicon from TSMC leading-edge 3nm (N3B/N3E) and upcoming 2nm nodes.

TSM → AMD Confirmed Filing

AMD relies on TSMC 5nm/4nm/3nm logic wafers and CoWoS packaging to manufacture EPYC Turin data-center CPUs and Instinct MI300X/MI325X/MI355X AI GPU chiplets.

LRCX → TSM Confirmed Filing

3D chiplet stacking, through-silicon vias (TSVs) in HBM, and Gate-All-Around selective atomic-layer etching sharply increase Lam Research etch and deposition intensity per wafer start.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video 💡 Starter Kit: Advanced Foundry, HBM & Custom Silicon (mara-quenwick) 🏛️ ENACTED_FINAL_RULE: BIS Export Administration Regulations: Advanced AI Compute & HBM Semiconductor Controls (Department of Commerce — Bureau of Industry and Security (15 CFR Parts 734, 740, 744)) 🏛️ ENACTED_FINAL_RULE: CHIPS Direct Funding Agreements & Treasury Section 48D 25% Semiconductor Investment Tax Credit (Department of Commerce (CHIPS Program Office) & U.S. Treasury / IRS (26 CFR Part 1)) 🎬 Curated Video: Nvidia Data-Center Revenue & AI Accelerator Margin Breakdown Post-Earnings (CNBC Television) →

TSM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TSM stock right now?

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. (TSM) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 62% profit margin (15% return on capital), mixed timing at 22x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is TSM's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TSM's 12-month base price target is $447.36 (range $348.94 to $527.88), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: TSM RQD Cockpit TSM 12M Forecast TSM Earnings & Move TSM Dividends & DRIP TSM Insiders & 13F TSM Whale Options TSM Profit Sankey TSM News & Why