TripAdvisor Inc. (TRIP) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$9.22 +3.13% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.25

TripAdvisor Inc. (TRIP) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.08B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.25 (+0.37%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 13% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (11)SEC (9)Macro (10)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
$18 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE TRIP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRIP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TRIP SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13% FCF Margin ($245.0M FCF) & 92.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 11 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$8.68+7.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$9.32+1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$9.41-2% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$9.22-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TRIP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, TRIP faces multiple-compression risk if 27.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.07) or 200D SMA ($11.01) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($9.18) toward Bear Floor ($7.16).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRIP• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TRIP Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
51.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)
1.45>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE13% OF RANGE
L: $8$9.22H: $18
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (92% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on TRIP

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (55)

13.0% ROIC with 92.3% gross margin and 22.67% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (45)

Altman-Z 1.45 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (62)

27/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like TRIP
  • ✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRIP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TRIP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
TRIP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.16%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $9.15H $9.26L $9.01C $9.22VOL 4.15M
RES: $16.89SUP: $7.70SMA50: $9.07SMA200: $11.01
$15.65$13.58$11.51$9.45$7.38RES $16.89SUP $7.70$9.222026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRIP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
20.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRIP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRIP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRIP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRIP)

Technology Rank #297 of 714 ⚔️ HSTM vs TRIP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TRIP vs. HSTM, VNET, SIFY, CEVA)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TripAdvisor Inc. (TRIP) ranks #297 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #348 by equity capitalization ($1.08B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRIP leads on earnings valuation at 27.0x trailing P/E, while VNET leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. HSTM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with TRIP at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRIP ACTIVE
TripAdvisor Inc.
D+ 57/100 27.0x 92.3% 13.0% +3.13% $1.08B Benchmark Subject
HSTM
HealthStream Inc.
C+ 66/100 56.4x — 5.0% +0.21% $1.03B /hstm-vs-trip →
VNET
VNET Group Inc.
D 46/100 — — 85.0% -9.16% $959.9M /vnet-vs-trip →
SIFY
Sify Technologies Limited
D+ 52/100 — — — +0.40% $914.8M /sify-vs-trip →
CEVA
CEVA Inc.
D- 35/100 — 87.1% -3.0% -0.68% $905.2M /ceva-vs-trip →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001526520

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TripAdvisor Inc. (TRIP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.89B (+3.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.83B , and +5.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $40.0M, operating cash flow of $245.0M, and free cash flow of $245.0M (+70.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRIP closed FY2025 with $2.63B in total assets against $819.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.45, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.89B $40.0M $245.0M $245.0M $2.63B $819.0M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.83B $5.0M $144.0M $144.0M $2.56B $831.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.79B $10.0M $235.0M $235.0M — —

3. TRIP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRIP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, TripAdvisor Inc. (NASDAQ: TRIP) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $9.22 (+3.13% 1D, market cap $1.08B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TRIP ranks #297 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRIP compare to HSTM and VNET in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), TRIP carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.0x, gross margin of 92.3%, and ROIC of 13.0%. By comparison, HSTM (HealthStream Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 56.4x, ROIC 5.0%, cap $1.03B) and VNET (VNET Group Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $959.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRIP leads on earnings multiple (27.0x) while VNET leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRIP?

Per TRIP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001526520), TripAdvisor Inc. generated $1.89B in revenue (+3.1% YoY), $40.0M in net income, and $245.0M in free cash flow against $2.63B in total assets and $819.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRIP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRIP last traded at $9.22 (+3.13% on volume of 2,596,661 shares), positioning the stock +1.65% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.07) and -16.26% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.01). Across its 52-week range of $8.02 to $17.53, TRIP sits at the 12.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($8.46 to $9.98).

TRIP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell TRIP stock right now?

TripAdvisor Inc. (TRIP) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 57/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 27x P/E (13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is TRIP's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

TRIP's 12-month base price target is $9.18 (range $7.16 to $18.41), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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