Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit
Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) receives a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (61/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (-175.8% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.
Warning: Paper profits outpaced real cash collected while unpaid invoices rose—classic earnings quality red flag.
Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.
Our SEC fine-print scanner flagged elevated accounting or executive-hedging risk combined with interest-rate headwinds.
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on SMCI
8.4% ROIC with 11.1% gross margin and 6.77% FCF yield.
Flagged cash-conversion divergence or elevated filing risk disclosures.
Put/Call 1.08x with 21/40 institutional & insider flow.
- ✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
- !Headline earnings grew much faster than real operating cash flow—watch out for profit revisions.
Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring SMCI)
- ✓Live walkthrough of SMCI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
SMCI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +46.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Trigger: $36.74 • Invalidation: $34.10
SMCI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDShould I buy, hold, or sell SMCI stock right now?
Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. Accounting Warning: Paper earnings outpaced operating cash flow (-175.8% (NI vs OCF)) as receivables rose.
What is SMCI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?
SMCI's 12-month base price target is $34.89 (range $27.21 to $55.66), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.