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Seadrill Limited (SDRL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$51.80 -1.30% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.58

Seadrill Limited (SDRL) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.24B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $51.58 (-0.42%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for SDRL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY SDRL SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 87% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 64.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$46.15+2.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$47.25+10.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$52.35-1.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$51.80-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (34) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a SDRL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While SDRL currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($47.80) and Max Pain ($54.39) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $58.24.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $SDRL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “SDRL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

64.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE87% OF RANGE

L: $28$51.80H: $55

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on SDRL

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (35)

1.2% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -0.86% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (40)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like SDRL

✓Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring SDRL)

✓Walkthrough of SDRL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

SDRL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.25%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $52.16H $54.62L $51.74C $51.80VOL 888.6K

RES: $58.69SUP: $45.45SMA50: $47.80SMA200: $45.08

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SDRL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 SDRL Butterfly Map → + Track SDRL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SDRL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SDRL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SDRL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (SDRL)

Energy Rank #179 of 211 ⚔️ CPK vs SDRL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (SDRL vs. CPK, TALO, NOG, GPOR)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Seadrill Limited (SDRL) ranks #179 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #105 by equity capitalization ($3.24B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GPOR leads on earnings valuation at 6.8x trailing P/E, while GPOR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.1% ROIC and 74.8% gross margin. GPOR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with SDRL at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
SDRL ACTIVE Seadrill Limited	D-	42/100	—	—	1.2%	-1.30%	$3.24B	Benchmark Subject
CPK Chesapeake Utilities Corporation	D+	58/100	23.3x	—	6.9%	+1.39%	$3.27B	/cpk-vs-sdrl →
TALO Talos Energy Inc.	C-	59/100	—	—	-14.6%	-2.20%	$2.97B	/talo-vs-sdrl →
NOG Northern Oil and Gas Inc.	D	49/100	76.4x	80.9%	9.2%	-1.00%	$2.96B	/nog-vs-sdrl →
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corporation	B	74/100	6.8x	74.8%	18.1%	-0.42%	$2.92B	/gpor-vs-sdrl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001737706

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Seadrill Limited (SDRL) reported GAAP revenue of $1.09B (+7.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.01B , and -5.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$77.0M, operating cash flow of -$28.0M, and free cash flow of -$28.0M (-131.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, SDRL closed FY2025 with $3.95B in total assets against $613.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.09B	-$77.0M	-$28.0M	-$28.0M	$3.95B	$613.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.01B	$446.0M	$88.0M	$88.0M	$4.16B	$610.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.15B	$300.0M	$287.0M	$287.0M	—	—

3. SDRL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is SDRL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Seadrill Limited (NYSE: SDRL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $51.80 (-1.30% 1D, market cap $3.24B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, SDRL ranks #179 in composite RQD confidence.

How does SDRL compare to CPK and TALO in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), SDRL carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.2%. By comparison, CPK (Chesapeake Utilities Corporation) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 23.3x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $3.27B) and TALO (Talos Energy Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.6%, cap $2.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GPOR leads on earnings multiple (6.8x) while GPOR leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for SDRL?

Per SDRL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001737706), Seadrill Limited generated $1.09B in revenue (+7.9% YoY), -$77.0M in net income, and -$28.0M in free cash flow against $3.95B in total assets and $613.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is SDRL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

SDRL last traded at $51.80 (-1.30% on volume of 592,806 shares), positioning the stock +8.37% above its 50-day simple moving average ($47.80) and +14.91% above its 200-day simple moving average ($45.08). Across its 52-week range of $28.10 to $55.47, SDRL sits at the 86.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.8% ($46.72 to $56.88).

SDRL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell SDRL stock right now?

Seadrill Limited (SDRL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 42/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is SDRL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

SDRL's 12-month base price target is $48.07 (range $37.49 to $58.24), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: SDRL RQD Cockpit SDRL 12M Forecast SDRL Earnings & Move SDRL Dividends & DRIP SDRL Insiders & 13F SDRL Whale Options SDRL Profit Sankey SDRL News & Why