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Patria Investments Limited (Class A) (PAX) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell PAX stock right now?

Patria Investments Limited (Class A) (PAX) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 42/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

Q: What is PAX's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

PAX's 12-month base price target is $8.52 (range $6.65 to $18.69), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$9.18 -1.29% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.14

Patria Investments Limited (Class A) (PAX) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.51B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on PAX Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is PAX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Patria Investments Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: PAX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $9.18 (-1.29% 1D, market cap $1.51B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, PAX ranks #908 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does PAX compare to GAB and GAM in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), PAX carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, GAB (Gabelli Equity Trust Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.54B) and GAM (General American Investors Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.55B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TSLX leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while TSLX leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PAX?

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For Patria Investments Limited (Class A) (PAX), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #908 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.14 (-0.42%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for PAX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY PAX SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 1.1% FCF Margin ($42.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$11.87-1.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$11.74-16.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$9.77-6% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$9.18-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (50) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a PAX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While PAX currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.82) and Max Pain ($9.64) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.69.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $PAX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “PAX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

29.630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE

L: $9$9.18H: $18

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on PAX

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (55)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (30)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like PAX

✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring PAX)

✓Walkthrough of PAX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

PAX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -27.60%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-11-02O $9.35H $9.35L $9.18C $9.18VOL 1.48M

RES: $12.22SUP: $9.29SMA50: $10.82SMA200: $11.90

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PAX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 PAX Butterfly Map → + Track PAX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PAX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PAX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PAX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (PAX)

Financials Rank #908 of 1096 ⚔️ GAB vs PAX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (PAX vs. GAB, GAM, TSLX, OXLC)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Patria Investments Limited (Class A) (PAX) ranks #908 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #485 by equity capitalization ($1.51B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TSLX leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while TSLX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.6% ROIC and — gross margin. TSLX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with PAX at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
PAX ACTIVE Patria Investments Limited (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	—	—	-1.29%	$1.51B	Benchmark Subject
GAB Gabelli Equity Trust Inc.	D	44/100	—	—	—	-0.95%	$1.54B	/gab-vs-pax →
GAM General American Investors Inc.	D	51/100	—	—	—	-0.81%	$1.55B	/gam-vs-pax →
TSLX Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc.	D+	58/100	9.9x	—	10.6%	+0.06%	$1.68B	/tslx-vs-pax →
OXLC Oxford Lane Capital Corp.	D-	43/100	—	—	—	-2.58%	$1.15B	/oxlc-vs-pax →

2. PAX Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Patria Investments Limited (Class A) (PAX) operates in Investment Managers (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $1.51B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. PAX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is PAX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does PAX compare to GAB and GAM in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for PAX?

Where is PAX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

PAX last traded at $9.18 (-1.29% on volume of 1,225,877 shares), positioning the stock -15.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.82) and -22.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.90). Across its 52-week range of $9.05 to $17.80, PAX sits at the 1.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($8.54 to $9.82).

PAX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell PAX stock right now?

Patria Investments Limited (Class A) (PAX) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 42/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is PAX's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

PAX's 12-month base price target is $8.52 (range $6.65 to $18.69), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: PAX RQD Cockpit PAX 12M Forecast PAX Earnings & Move PAX Dividends & DRIP PAX Insiders & 13F PAX Whale Options PAX Profit Sankey PAX News & Why