Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd. (KMTS) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$30.61 +2.48% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.69

Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd. (KMTS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D β€’ SELL / AVOID Cap $1.82B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KMTS Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KMTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: KMTS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $30.61 (+2.48% 1D, market cap $1.82B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, KMTS ranks #292 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KMTS compare to ATEC and XRAY in the Health Care sector?
β–Ό

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), KMTS carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 51.4%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ATEC (Alphatec Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.4%, cap $1.76B) and XRAY (DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.0%, cap $1.92B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INSP leads on earnings multiple (14.2x) while LMAT leads on capital efficiency (14.7% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KMTS?
β–Ό

Per KMTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0001877184), Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd. generated $95.1M in revenue (+59.0% YoY), -$131.6M in net income, and -$116.6M in free cash flow against $379.3M in total assets and $42.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $30.69 (+0.26%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 49.3% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID β€’ D
025507510050
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D Β· Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (16)SEC (14)Macro (9)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$35 Bull$30 Base$23 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE KMTS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KMTS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY KMTS SCORES 50/100 (D) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (32% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.4% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 9.65 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 5/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$26.91+9.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$29.37+0.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$29.42+4% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$30.61-1.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (42) β†’ D (50)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KMTS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While KMTS currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($26.76) and Max Pain ($32.14) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $34.82.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KMTSβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œKMTS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 28, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
60.830 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
9.65>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE97% OF RANGE
L: $17$30.61H: $31
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on KMTS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

-35.0% ROIC with 51.4% gross margin and -6.40% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 9.65 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (47)

19/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like KMTS
  • βœ“Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KMTS)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of KMTS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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KMTS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +48.95%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-02O $29.87H $30.61L $29.87C $30.61VOL 470.7K
RES: $30.22SUP: $23.32SMA50: $26.76SMA200: $23.85
$31.98$28.16$24.34$20.52$16.69RES $30.22SUP $23.32$30.612026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KMTS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +59.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KMTS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KMTS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KMTS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KMTS)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (KMTS vs. ATEC, XRAY, LMAT, INSP)

Industry: Medical/Dental Instruments (120 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd. (KMTS) ranks #292 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #278 by equity capitalization ($1.82B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INSP leads on earnings valuation at 14.2x trailing P/E, while LMAT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.7% ROIC and 71.5% gross margin. LMAT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with KMTS at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KMTS ACTIVE
Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd.
D 50/100 β€” 51.4% -35.0% +2.48% $1.82B Benchmark Subject
ATEC
Alphatec Holdings Inc.
D 46/100 β€” 69.6% -18.4% -0.70% $1.76B /atec-vs-kmts β†’
XRAY
DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc.
E 32/100 β€” 50.0% -11.0% +1.80% $1.92B /xray-vs-kmts β†’
LMAT
LeMaitre Vascular Inc.
C+ 69/100 33.8x 71.5% 14.7% +2.90% $1.95B /lmat-vs-kmts β†’
INSP
Inspire Medical Systems Inc.
C+ 66/100 14.2x 85.4% 6.0% +0.30% $2.06B /insp-vs-kmts β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-04-30 β€’ CIK 0001877184

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30), Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd. (KMTS) reported GAAP revenue of $95.1M (+59.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $59.8M , and +242.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$131.6M, operating cash flow of -$81.7M, and free cash flow of -$116.6M (-16.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, KMTS closed FY2025 with $379.3M in total assets against $42.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 9.65, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-04-30 $95.1M -$131.6M -$81.7M -$116.6M $379.3M $42.3M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-04-30 $59.8M -$113.8M -$77.6M -$100.5M β€” β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2024-04-30 $27.8M -$94.1M -$72.2M -$72.2M β€” β€”

3. KMTS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KMTS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: KMTS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $30.61 (+2.48% 1D, market cap $1.82B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, KMTS ranks #292 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KMTS compare to ATEC and XRAY in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical/Dental Instruments), KMTS carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 51.4%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ATEC (Alphatec Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.4%, cap $1.76B) and XRAY (DENTSPLY SIRONA Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.0%, cap $1.92B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INSP leads on earnings multiple (14.2x) while LMAT leads on capital efficiency (14.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KMTS?

Per KMTS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-04-30, CIK 0001877184), Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd. generated $95.1M in revenue (+59.0% YoY), -$131.6M in net income, and -$116.6M in free cash flow against $379.3M in total assets and $42.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KMTS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KMTS last traded at $30.61 (+2.48% on volume of 470,684 shares), positioning the stock +14.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($26.76) and +28.34% above its 200-day simple moving average ($23.85). Across its 52-week range of $17.34 to $31.06, KMTS sits at the 96.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.4% ($26.81 to $34.41).

KMTS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell KMTS stock right now?

Kestra Medical Technologies Ltd. (KMTS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell β€” SELL) with 50/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is KMTS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

KMTS's 12-month base price target is $29.51 (range $23.02 to $34.82), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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