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IP Strategy Holdings Inc. (IPST) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$2.63 +1.94% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.63

IP Strategy Holdings Inc. (IPST) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $2.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.63 (+0.16%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IPST)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY IPST SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (33% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$3.01-16.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$2.52-19.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$2.03+29.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.63-7.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (48) → D- (40)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IPST Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While IPST currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.50) and Max Pain ($2.76) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $316.68.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IPST• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “IPST Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 40%NO 60%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

46.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

3 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE

L: $2$2.63H: $302

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 5 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on IPST

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (25)

-35.0% ROIC with 54.9% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (45)

14/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like IPST

✓Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IPST)

✓Walkthrough of IPST's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

IPST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -52.70%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $2.62H $2.72L $2.45C $2.63VOL 60.0K

RES: $3.19SUP: $2.07SMA50: $3.50SMA200: $7.30

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IPST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IPST Butterfly Map → + Track IPST →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +20.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IPST today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IPST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IPST today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IPST)

Consumer Staples Rank #117 of 146 ⚔️ YHC vs IPST Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (IPST vs. YHC, AMSS, IBG, REED)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, IP Strategy Holdings Inc. (IPST) ranks #117 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #141 by equity capitalization ($2.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IPST leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while IPST leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 54.9% gross margin. AMSS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with IPST at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
IPST ACTIVE IP Strategy Holdings Inc.	D-	40/100	—	54.9%	-35.0%	+1.94%	$2.6M	Benchmark Subject
YHC LQR House Inc.	E	30/100	—	10.8%	-35.0%	-0.41%	$3.2M	/yhc-vs-ipst →
AMSS AMASS Brands Inc.	D+	54/100	—	—	—	-3.11%	$3.5M	/amss-vs-ipst →
IBG Innovation Beverage Group Limited	E	34/100	—	44.2%	-35.0%	-6.37%	$4.0M	/ibg-vs-ipst →
REED Reed's Inc.	E	34/100	—	20.4%	-35.0%	-6.33%	$8.2M	/reed-vs-ipst →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001788230

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), IP Strategy Holdings Inc. (IPST) reported GAAP revenue of $10.1M (+20.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.4M , and +26.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$137.7M, operating cash flow of -$15.3M, and free cash flow of -$15.4M (-36.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, IPST closed FY2025 with $108.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$10.1M	-$137.7M	-$15.3M	-$15.4M	$108.8M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$8.4M	$710.5K	-$11.2M	-$11.3M	$28.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$8.0M	-$36.8M	-$8.5M	-$8.5M	—	—

3. IPST Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IPST stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, IP Strategy Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: IPST) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $2.63 (+1.94% 1D, market cap $2.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, IPST ranks #117 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IPST compare to YHC and AMSS in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), IPST carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 54.9%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, YHC (LQR House Inc.) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.2M) and AMSS (AMASS Brands Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IPST leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while IPST leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IPST?

Per IPST's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001788230), IP Strategy Holdings Inc. generated $10.1M in revenue (+20.4% YoY), -$137.7M in net income, and -$15.4M in free cash flow against $108.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IPST trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IPST last traded at $2.63 (+1.94% on volume of 79,021 shares), positioning the stock -24.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.50) and -63.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.30). Across its 52-week range of $1.54 to $301.60, IPST sits at the 0.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.30 to $2.96).

IPST Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell IPST stock right now?

IP Strategy Holdings Inc. (IPST) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 40/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is IPST's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

IPST's 12-month base price target is $2.42 (range $1.89 to $316.68), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: IPST RQD Cockpit IPST 12M Forecast IPST Earnings & Move IPST Dividends & DRIP IPST Insiders & 13F IPST Whale Options IPST Profit Sankey IPST News & Why