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Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$205.94 +5.51% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $82.13B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HWM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

44.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

10.53>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

9 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE18% OF RANGE

L: $184$205.94H: $310

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (steady margins and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: ARQD 18 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on HWM

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (90)

21.6% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 1.74% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 10.53 and Piotroski 9/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (48)

20/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like HWM

✓Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (HWM Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 1,540+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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HWM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.08%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-01O $195.2H $205.9L $195.2C $205.9VOL 5.83M

RES: $338.8SUP: $178.1SMA50: $227.7SMA200: $248.6

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HWM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HWM Butterfly Map → + Track HWM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

38.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HWM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HWM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HWM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HWM)

Industrials Rank #73 of 166 ⚔️ PH vs HWM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (HWM vs. PH, RS, RBC, MLI)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (16 Tracked Issuers)

Across 166 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) ranks #73 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #18 by equity capitalization ($82.13B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MLI leads on earnings valuation at 15.9x trailing P/E, while MLI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 41.1% ROIC and — gross margin. RS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with HWM at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HWM ACTIVE Howmet Aerospace Inc.	C	65/100	54.5x	—	21.6%	+5.51%	$82.13B	Benchmark Subject
PH Parker-Hannifin Corporation	C	62/100	33.2x	36.9%	16.6%	+1.81%	$117.09B	/ph-vs-hwm →
RS Reliance Inc.	B	72/100	30.3x	—	9.6%	+0.58%	$22.40B	/rs-vs-hwm →
RBC RBC Bearings Incorporated	C	62/100	54.6x	44.4%	8.6%	+2.31%	$15.69B	/rbc-vs-hwm →
MLI Mueller Industries Inc.	C+	67/100	15.9x	—	41.1%	+0.87%	$12.16B	/mli-vs-hwm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000004281

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) reported GAAP revenue of $8.25B (+11.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.43B , and +24.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.51B, operating cash flow of $1.88B, and free cash flow of $1.43B (+46.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, HWM closed FY2025 with $11.18B in total assets against $2.86B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 10.53, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$8.25B	$1.51B	$1.88B	$1.43B	$11.18B	$2.86B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$7.43B	$1.16B	$1.30B	$977.0M	$10.52B	$3.31B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$6.64B	$765.0M	$901.0M	$602.2M	$45.17B	$10.57B

3. HWM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HWM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Howmet Aerospace Inc. (NYSE: HWM) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $205.94 (+5.51% 1D, market cap $82.13B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 166 tracked Industrials issuers, HWM ranks #73 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HWM compare to PH and RS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), HWM carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 54.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 21.6%. By comparison, PH (Parker-Hannifin Corporation) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 33.2x, ROIC 16.6%, cap $117.09B) and RS (Reliance Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 30.3x, ROIC 9.6%, cap $22.40B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MLI leads on earnings multiple (15.9x) while MLI leads on capital efficiency (41.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HWM?

Per HWM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000004281), Howmet Aerospace Inc. generated $8.25B in revenue (+11.1% YoY), $1.51B in net income, and $1.43B in free cash flow against $11.18B in total assets and $2.86B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HWM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HWM last traded at $205.94 (+5.51% on volume of 5,829,631 shares), positioning the stock -9.56% below its 50-day simple moving average ($227.72) and -17.16% below its 200-day simple moving average ($248.61). Across its 52-week range of $183.52 to $310.00, HWM sits at the 17.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($189.46 to $222.42).

HWM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell HWM stock right now?

Howmet Aerospace Inc. (HWM) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (22% return on capital), mixed timing at 55x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is HWM's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

HWM's 12-month base price target is $212.43 (range $165.7 to $325.5), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: HWM RQD Cockpit HWM 12M Forecast HWM Earnings & Move HWM Dividends & DRIP HWM Insiders & 13F HWM Whale Options HWM Profit Sankey HWM News & Why