Hawkins Inc. (HWKN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$153.73 -0.21% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $154.04

Hawkins Inc. (HWKN) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (23% profit margin, 12% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $3.20B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $154.04 (+0.20%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 7.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk A-
Cash (17)Whales (9)SEC (18)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target
$192 Bull$163 Base$126 Bear
📬 FREE HWKN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HWKN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HWKN SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 6.57 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.9% FCF Margin ($86.1M FCF) & 22.6% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$130.00+1.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$131.66+0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$132.32+16.2% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$153.73+6.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HWKN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, HWKN faces multiple-compression risk if 39.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 39x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 20.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($128.73) or 200D SMA ($143.26) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($162.72) toward Bear Floor ($126.06).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HWKN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HWKN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERBOUGHT (>70)
7830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
6.57>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE65% OF RANGE
L: $116$153.73H: $174
1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (23% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: A-RQD 17 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: A-RQD 33 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on HWKN

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (85)

12.4% ROIC with 22.6% gross margin and 2.69% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (90)

Altman-Z 6.57 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (60)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like HWKN
  • ✓Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Priced at 39x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (HWKN Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
HWKN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.19%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $153.8H $155.5L $150.7C $153.7VOL 129.4K
RES: $158.6SUP: $96.84SMA50: $128.7SMA200: $143.3
$178.2$161.3$144.5$127.7$110.8RES $158.6SUP $96.84$153.72026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HWKN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
29.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HWKN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HWKN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HWKN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HWKN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #155 of 1011 ⚔️ ASH vs HWKN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HWKN vs. ASH, CLX, NPT, CSL)

Industry: Specialty Chemicals (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hawkins Inc. (HWKN) ranks #155 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #351 by equity capitalization ($3.20B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CLX leads on earnings valuation at 13.0x trailing P/E, while CLX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 37.2% ROIC and 45.2% gross margin. CSL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with HWKN at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HWKN ACTIVE
Hawkins Inc.
B- 71/100 39.2x 22.6% 12.4% -0.21% $3.20B Benchmark Subject
ASH
Ashland Inc.
D+ 52/100 — 30.1% -20.7% +2.35% $3.41B /ash-vs-hwkn →
CLX
Clorox Company
C+ 66/100 13.0x 45.2% 37.2% +2.11% $10.72B /clx-vs-hwkn →
NPT
Texxon Holding Limited
D 47/100 — 0.6% — -0.54% $41.0M /npt-vs-hwkn →
CSL
Carlisle Companies Incorporated
B 74/100 19.9x 35.7% 22.2% +7.58% $14.75B /csl-vs-hwkn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-29 • CIK 0000046250

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-29), Hawkins Inc. (HWKN) reported GAAP revenue of $1.08B (+11.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $974.4M , and +17.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $81.5M, operating cash flow of $144.3M, and free cash flow of $86.1M (+23.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, HWKN closed FY2025 with $976.5M in total assets against $253.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.57, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-29 $1.08B $81.5M $144.3M $86.1M $976.5M $253.4M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-30 $974.4M $84.3M $111.1M $70.0M $707.2M $103.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $919.2M $75.4M $159.5M $159.5M — —

3. HWKN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HWKN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Hawkins Inc. (NASDAQ: HWKN) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $153.73 (-0.21% 1D, market cap $3.20B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HWKN ranks #155 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HWKN compare to ASH and CLX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Specialty Chemicals), HWKN carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 39.2x, gross margin of 22.6%, and ROIC of 12.4%. By comparison, ASH (Ashland Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -20.7%, cap $3.41B) and CLX (Clorox Company) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 13.0x, ROIC 37.2%, cap $10.72B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLX leads on earnings multiple (13.0x) while CLX leads on capital efficiency (37.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HWKN?

Per HWKN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-29, CIK 0000046250), Hawkins Inc. generated $1.08B in revenue (+11.2% YoY), $81.5M in net income, and $86.1M in free cash flow against $976.5M in total assets and $253.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 39x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HWKN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HWKN last traded at $153.73 (-0.21% on volume of 103,634 shares), positioning the stock +19.42% above its 50-day simple moving average ($128.73) and +7.31% above its 200-day simple moving average ($143.26). Across its 52-week range of $116.05 to $174.12, HWKN sits at the 64.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 78.0 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($144.05 to $163.41).

HWKN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell HWKN stock right now?

Hawkins Inc. (HWKN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy — BUY) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (23% profit margin, 12% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is HWKN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

HWKN's 12-month base price target is $162.72 (range $126.06 to $192.01), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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