FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$196.01 +17.27% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $20.13B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (10)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$340 Bull$197 Base$154 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:72% Call Buyers ($3.3M)
28% PutsMax Pain: $192.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
59.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
4.42>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE28% OF RANGE
L: $146$196.01H: $324
1. Money & Cash Health● RED FLAG
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 23 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on FTAI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

18.0% ROIC with 46.2% gross margin and -1.68% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.42 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (60)

Put/Call 0.38x with 23/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like FTAI
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Priced at 66x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Trading Systems Desk

Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live FTAI Tape Review)

  • ✓Live breakdown of today’s highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts
  • ✓1 urgent Red-Light accounting trap to cut from your watchlist immediately
  • ✓Bring any ticker to live Q&A—we run it through the 5-Pillar RQD Radar on screen
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
FTAI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.99%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $189.0H $193.3L $183.2C $187.3VOL 2.32M
RES: $163.3SUP: $143.8SMA50: $179.0SMA200: $231.9
$298.7$257.4$216.2$174.9$133.7RES $163.3SUP $143.8$187.32026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FTAI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
44.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +44.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FTAI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FTAI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FTAI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

FTAI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell FTAI stock right now?

FTAI Aviation Ltd. (FTAI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 46% profit margin (18% return on capital), mixed timing at 66x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is FTAI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

FTAI's 12-month base price target is $196.89 (range $153.57 to $339.69), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.