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Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$9.78 -0.41% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.75

Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $182.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.75 (-0.26%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ESOA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ESOA SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (34% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.13 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (17% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 9.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 14 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$10.40-11.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$9.21+0.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$9.26+5.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$9.78-7.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ESOA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ESOA currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.70) and Max Pain ($10.27) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.94.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ESOA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ESOA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

36.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.13>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE16% OF RANGE

L: $8$9.78H: $20

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on ESOA

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (35)

3.9% ROIC with 9.4% gross margin and -1.21% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 3.13 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (33)

13/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 7/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ESOA

✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ESOA)

✓Walkthrough of ESOA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ESOA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -42.47%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $9.72H $9.78L $9.26C $9.78VOL 75.3K

RES: $11.92SUP: $8.66SMA50: $10.70SMA200: $13.70

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ESOA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ESOA Butterfly Map → + Track ESOA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

20.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ESOA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ESOA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ESOA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ESOA)

Industrials Rank #367 of 485 ⚔️ RNTZ vs ESOA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ESOA vs. RNTZ, ITG, PLPC, PRIM)

Industry: Water Sewer Pipeline Comm & Power Line Construction (8 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) ranks #367 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #354 by equity capitalization ($182.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRIM leads on earnings valuation at 14.8x trailing P/E, while PRIM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.9% ROIC and 10.7% gross margin. PRIM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with ESOA at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ESOA ACTIVE Energy Services of America Corporation	D-	41/100	—	9.4%	3.9%	-0.41%	$182.5M	Benchmark Subject
RNTZ Rantizo (Class A)	D-	39/100	—	25.1%	-16.2%	+2.21%	$247.8M	/rntz-vs-esoa →
ITG ITG Inc. (Class A)	C-	59/100	—	—	—	+20.59%	$705.2M	/itg-vs-esoa →
PLPC Preformed Line Products Company	D+	54/100	44.3x	31.2%	8.6%	-8.26%	$1.56B	/plpc-vs-esoa →
PRIM Primoris Services Corporation	C+	67/100	14.8x	10.7%	20.9%	+2.51%	$4.07B	/prim-vs-esoa →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001357971

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) reported GAAP revenue of $411.0M (+16.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $351.9M ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $4.1M, and free cash flow of -$2.2M (-122.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ESOA closed FY2025 with $201.0M in total assets against $40.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.13, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$411.0M	$0	$4.1M	-$2.2M	$201.0M	$40.5M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$351.9M	$0	$18.7M	$9.9M	$192.1M	$39.2M

3. ESOA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ESOA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Energy Services of America Corporation (NASDAQ: ESOA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $9.78 (-0.41% 1D, market cap $182.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ESOA ranks #367 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ESOA compare to RNTZ and ITG in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Water Sewer Pipeline Comm & Power Line Construction), ESOA carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.4%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, RNTZ (Rantizo (Class A)) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.2%, cap $247.8M) and ITG (ITG Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $705.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRIM leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while PRIM leads on capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESOA?

Per ESOA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001357971), Energy Services of America Corporation generated $411.0M in revenue (+16.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$2.2M in free cash flow against $201.0M in total assets and $40.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ESOA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ESOA last traded at $9.78 (-0.41% on volume of 66,541 shares), positioning the stock -8.60% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.70) and -28.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.70). Across its 52-week range of $7.84 to $19.94, ESOA sits at the 16.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.2% ($8.98 to $10.58).

ESOA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ESOA stock right now?

Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 41/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is ESOA's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ESOA's 12-month base price target is $9.03 (range $7.04 to $20.94), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: ESOA RQD Cockpit ESOA 12M Forecast ESOA Earnings & Move ESOA Dividends & DRIP ESOA Insiders & 13F ESOA Whale Options ESOA Profit Sankey ESOA News & Why