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The Elmet Group Co. (ELMT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$24.08 +1.95% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.12

The Elmet Group Co. (ELMT) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $733.5M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ELMT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ELMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, The Elmet Group Co. (NASDAQ: ELMT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $24.08 (+1.95% 1D, market cap $733.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ELMT compare to NX and AAC in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), ELMT carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, NX (Quanex Building Products Corporation) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.9%, cap $951.4M) and AAC (Ares Acquisition Corporation III (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $491.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ELMT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while UAMY leads on capital efficiency (-6.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ELMT?

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Per ELMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002101698), The Elmet Group Co. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $175.6M in total assets and $28.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.12 (+0.16%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ELMT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ELMT SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$20.52-8.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$18.75+16.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$21.84+10.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$24.08+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ELMT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, ELMT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($19.83) or 200D SMA ($17.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($24.30) toward Bear Floor ($18.95).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ELMT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ELMT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

63.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE89% OF RANGE

L: $12$24.08H: $25

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on ELMT

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (62)

25/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ELMT

✓Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ELMT Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ELMT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +56.67%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $23.62H $24.08L $23.62C $24.08VOL 420.8K

RES: $26.26SUP: $18.82SMA50: $19.83SMA200: $17.83

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ELMT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ELMT Butterfly Map → + Track ELMT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ELMT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ELMT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ELMT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ELMT)

Industrials Rank #131 of 485 ⚔️ NX vs ELMT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ELMT vs. NX, AAC, UAMY, NWCL)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Elmet Group Co. (ELMT) ranks #131 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #276 by equity capitalization ($733.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ELMT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while UAMY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -6.0% ROIC and 25.2% gross margin. ELMT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ELMT ACTIVE The Elmet Group Co.	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+1.95%	$733.5M	Benchmark Subject
NX Quanex Building Products Corporation	D	50/100	—	27.2%	-22.9%	+4.85%	$951.4M	/nx-vs-elmt →
AAC Ares Acquisition Corporation III (Class A)	D	46/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$491.7M	/aac-vs-elmt →
UAMY United States Antimony Corporation	E	30/100	—	25.2%	-6.0%	-2.17%	$473.0M	/uamy-vs-elmt →
NWCL newcleo plc	D	46/100	—	—	—	-1.91%	$1.30B	/nwcl-vs-elmt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002101698

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), The Elmet Group Co. (ELMT) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, ELMT closed FY2025 with $175.6M in total assets against $28.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$175.6M	$28.5M

3. ELMT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ELMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ELMT compare to NX and AAC in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ELMT?

Where is ELMT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ELMT last traded at $24.08 (+1.95% on volume of 420,759 shares), positioning the stock +21.43% above its 50-day simple moving average ($19.83) and +35.05% above its 200-day simple moving average ($17.83). Across its 52-week range of $12.49 to $25.46, ELMT sits at the 89.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($21.07 to $27.09).

ELMT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ELMT stock right now?

The Elmet Group Co. (ELMT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold — HOLD) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (steady margins), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is ELMT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ELMT's 12-month base price target is $24.3 (range $18.95 to $28.67), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: ELMT RQD Cockpit ELMT 12M Forecast ELMT Earnings & Move ELMT Dividends & DRIP ELMT Insiders & 13F ELMT Whale Options ELMT Profit Sankey ELMT News & Why