Estee Lauder Companies Inc. (The) (EL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$108.81 -0.46% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Estee Lauder Companies Inc. (The) (EL) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $39.42B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (15)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$131 Bull$111 Base$86 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:52% Call Buyers ($3.7M)
48% PutsMax Pain: $107.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
66.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
4.05>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE77% OF RANGE
L: $66$108.81H: $122
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (74% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on EL

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

-11.0% ROIC with 74.0% gross margin and 1.70% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 4.05 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (58)

Put/Call 0.92x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like EL
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Trading Systems Desk

Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live EL Tape Review)

  • ✓Live breakdown of today’s highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts
  • ✓1 urgent Red-Light accounting trap to cut from your watchlist immediately
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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EL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +42.39%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $108.9H $111.0L $105.4C $109.2VOL 8.86M
RES: $119.8SUP: $92.97SMA50: $100.4SMA200: $91.57
$113.9$103.4$92.91$82.44$71.97RES $119.8SUP $92.97$109.22026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
23.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

EL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell EL stock right now?

Estee Lauder Companies Inc. (The) (EL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 74% profit margin (-11% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is EL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

EL's 12-month base price target is $110.77 (range $86.4 to $130.71), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.