Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ASH

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Ashland Inc. (ASH) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$74.38 +2.35% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $74.55

Ashland Inc. (ASH) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.41B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $74.55 (+0.23%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 5.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ASH SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.8% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 88% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 66.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$70.57+0.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$71.15+2.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$72.99+1.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$74.38-1.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ASH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ASH currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($71.47) and Max Pain ($78.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $85.40.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ASH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

66.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE88% OF RANGE

L: $47$74.38H: $78

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on ASH

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (35)

-20.7% ROIC with 30.1% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (55)

20/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ASH

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ASH)

✓Walkthrough of ASH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ASH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +39.65%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $74.19H $74.85L $73.85C $74.38VOL 457.2K

RES: $71.73SUP: $67.61SMA50: $71.47SMA200: $63.74

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ASH Butterfly Map → + Track ASH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -13.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #605 of 1011 ⚔️ HWKN vs ASH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ASH vs. HWKN, CLX, NPT, CSL)

Industry: Specialty Chemicals (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ashland Inc. (ASH) ranks #605 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #340 by equity capitalization ($3.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CLX leads on earnings valuation at 13.0x trailing P/E, while CLX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 37.2% ROIC and 45.2% gross margin. CSL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with ASH at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ASH ACTIVE Ashland Inc.	D+	52/100	—	30.1%	-20.7%	+2.35%	$3.41B	Benchmark Subject
HWKN Hawkins Inc.	B-	71/100	39.2x	22.6%	12.4%	-0.21%	$3.20B	/hwkn-vs-ash →
CLX Clorox Company	C+	66/100	13.0x	45.2%	37.2%	+2.11%	$10.72B	/clx-vs-ash →
NPT Texxon Holding Limited	D	47/100	—	0.6%	—	-0.54%	$41.0M	/npt-vs-ash →
CSL Carlisle Companies Incorporated	B	74/100	19.9x	35.7%	22.2%	+7.58%	$14.75B	/csl-vs-ash →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001674862

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Ashland Inc. (ASH) reported GAAP revenue of $1.82B (-13.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.11B , and -16.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, ASH closed FY2025 with $4.52B in total assets against $1.39B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$1.82B	$0	—	—	$4.52B	$1.39B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$2.11B	$0	—	—	$5.23B	$1.31B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$2.19B	$0	—	—	—	—

3. ASH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ashland Inc. (NYSE: ASH) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $74.38 (+2.35% 1D, market cap $3.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ASH ranks #605 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASH compare to HWKN and CLX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Specialty Chemicals), ASH carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.1%, and ROIC of -20.7%. By comparison, HWKN (Hawkins Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 39.2x, ROIC 12.4%, cap $3.20B) and CLX (Clorox Company) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 13.0x, ROIC 37.2%, cap $10.72B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CLX leads on earnings multiple (13.0x) while CLX leads on capital efficiency (37.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASH?

Per ASH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001674862), Ashland Inc. generated $1.82B in revenue (-13.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $4.52B in total assets and $1.39B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASH last traded at $74.38 (+2.35% on volume of 545,495 shares), positioning the stock +4.07% above its 50-day simple moving average ($71.47) and +16.69% above its 200-day simple moving average ($63.74). Across its 52-week range of $47.12 to $78.25, ASH sits at the 87.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.2 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.8% ($70.81 to $77.95).

ASH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ASH stock right now?

Ashland Inc. (ASH) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 52/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-21% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is ASH's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ASH's 12-month base price target is $72.37 (range $56.45 to $85.4), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: ASH RQD Cockpit ASH 12M Forecast ASH Earnings & Move ASH Dividends & DRIP ASH Insiders & 13F ASH Whale Options ASH Profit Sankey ASH News & Why