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Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$112.02 -1.50% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $111.50

Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.46B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $111.50 (-0.46%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 12.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ACLS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ACLS SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.43 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.8% FCF Margin ($107.0M FCF) & 44.9% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$134.71-19.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$108.35-1.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$106.58+5.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$112.02+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (75) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ACLS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, ACLS faces multiple-compression risk if 28.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 42.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($118.51) or 200D SMA ($123.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($116.56) toward Bear Floor ($90.92).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ACLS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ACLS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

35.130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

8.43>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE32% OF RANGE

L: $74$112.02H: $194

1. Money & Cash Health● HEALTHY

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Real cash coming in backs up reported profits (45% profit margin and healthy balance-sheet cushion).

Factor Grade: BRQD 15 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 31 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on ACLS

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (75)

10.6% ROIC with 44.9% gross margin and 3.09% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 8.43 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (60)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ACLS

✓Strong cash generator (45% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ACLS Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ACLS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.47%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $105.8H $112.0L $95.73C $112.0VOL 522.9K

RES: $152.5SUP: $94.06SMA50: $118.5SMA200: $123.1

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ACLS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ACLS Butterfly Map → + Track ACLS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

22.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -17.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACLS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACLS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ACLS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ACLS)

Technology Rank #145 of 714 ⚔️ ACMR vs ACLS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ACLS vs. ACMR, LPL, VECO, PI)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) ranks #145 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #240 by equity capitalization ($3.46B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACLS leads on earnings valuation at 28.8x trailing P/E, while ACLS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.6% ROIC and 44.9% gross margin. ACLS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ACLS ACTIVE Axcelis Technologies Inc.	C+	67/100	28.8x	44.9%	10.6%	-1.50%	$3.46B	Benchmark Subject
ACMR ACM Research Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	36.5x	44.4%	9.8%	-7.03%	$3.43B	/acmr-vs-acls →
LPL LG Display Co Ltd AMERICAN DEPOSITORY SHARES	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.87%	$2.71B	/lpl-vs-acls →
VECO Veeco Instruments Inc.	D+	56/100	73.9x	40.0%	3.0%	-2.37%	$2.62B	/veco-vs-acls →
PI Impinj Inc.	C-	60/100	—	52.5%	-0.1%	+3.44%	$5.63B	/pi-vs-acls →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001113232

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) reported GAAP revenue of $839.0M (-17.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.02B , and -25.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $120.2M, operating cash flow of $118.3M, and free cash flow of $107.0M (-16.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, ACLS closed FY2025 with $1.36B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.43, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$839.0M	$120.2M	$118.3M	$107.0M	$1.36B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.02B	$201.0M	$140.8M	$128.6M	$1.35B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.13B	$246.3M	$156.9M	$156.9M	—	—

3. ACLS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ACLS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Axcelis Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: ACLS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $112.02 (-1.50% 1D, market cap $3.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ACLS ranks #145 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ACLS compare to ACMR and LPL in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), ACLS carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.8x, gross margin of 44.9%, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, ACMR (ACM Research Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 36.5x, ROIC 9.8%, cap $3.43B) and LPL (LG Display Co Ltd AMERICAN DEPOSITORY SHARES) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACLS leads on earnings multiple (28.8x) while ACLS leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACLS?

Per ACLS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001113232), Axcelis Technologies Inc. generated $839.0M in revenue (-17.6% YoY), $120.2M in net income, and $107.0M in free cash flow against $1.36B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (45% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ACLS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ACLS last traded at $112.02 (-1.50% on volume of 284,761 shares), positioning the stock -5.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($118.51) and -9.02% below its 200-day simple moving average ($123.13). Across its 52-week range of $73.60 to $193.78, ACLS sits at the 32.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.2% ($100.59 to $123.45).

ACLS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ACLS stock right now?

Axcelis Technologies Inc. (ACLS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 45% profit margin (11% return on capital), mixed timing at 29x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is ACLS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ACLS's 12-month base price target is $116.56 (range $90.92 to $203.47), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: ACLS RQD Cockpit ACLS 12M Forecast ACLS Earnings & Move ACLS Dividends & DRIP ACLS Insiders & 13F ACLS Whale Options ACLS Profit Sankey ACLS News & Why