ABVC BioPharma Inc. (ABVC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.04 -4.59% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.03

ABVC BioPharma Inc. (ABVC) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $27.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.03 (-1.02%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.6% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE ABVC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ABVC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ABVC SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 14% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
26
Grade E$1.00-8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
29
Grade E$0.92+13% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
31
Grade E$1.04+0% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$1.04-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (26) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ABVC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ABVC currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.99) and Max Pain ($1.09) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.21.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ABVC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ABVC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
48.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
1 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE14% OF RANGE
L: $1$1.04H: $3
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 9 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on ABVC

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (35)

-35.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -10.76% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 1/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (28)

9/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ABVC
  • ✓Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ABVC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ABVC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ABVC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.97%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $1.02H $1.04L $1.00C $1.04VOL 20.0K
RES: $1.13SUP: $0.93SMA50: $0.99SMA200: $1.26
$2.40$1.94$1.48$1.03$0.57RES $1.13SUP $0.93$1.042026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ABVC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ABVC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ABVC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ABVC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ABVC)

Health Care Rank #852 of 1016 ⚔️ CPHI vs ABVC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ABVC vs. CPHI, CELU, BCTX, CRVO)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ABVC BioPharma Inc. (ABVC) ranks #852 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #813 by equity capitalization ($27.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ABVC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CPHI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -11.4% ROIC and -3.2% gross margin. CPHI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 45/100 (D) compared with ABVC at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ABVC ACTIVE
ABVC BioPharma Inc.
E 34/100 — — -35.0% -4.59% $27.8M Benchmark Subject
CPHI
China Pharma Holdings Inc.
D 45/100 — -3.2% -11.4% +4.84% $28.0M /cphi-vs-abvc →
CELU
Celularity Inc. (Class A)
E 34/100 — 24.4% -35.0% -9.66% $27.6M /celu-vs-abvc →
BCTX
BriaCell Therapeutics Corp.
D- 41/100 — — — -5.43% $28.9M /bctx-vs-abvc →
CRVO
CervoMed Inc.
E 29/100 — — -35.0% -20.81% $26.5M /crvo-vs-abvc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001173313

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ABVC BioPharma Inc. (ABVC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $509.6K , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$7.9M, operating cash flow of -$3.0M, and free cash flow of -$3.0M (-65.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ABVC closed FY2025 with $21.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$7.9M -$3.0M -$3.0M $21.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $509.6K -$4.9M -$1.8M -$1.8M $7.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $152.4K -$7.8M -$4.2M -$4.2M — —

3. ABVC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ABVC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, ABVC BioPharma Inc. (NASDAQ: ABVC) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.04 (-4.59% 1D, market cap $27.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ABVC ranks #852 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ABVC compare to CPHI and CELU in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ABVC carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, CPHI (China Pharma Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.4%, cap $28.0M) and CELU (Celularity Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $27.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ABVC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CPHI leads on capital efficiency (-11.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ABVC?

Per ABVC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001173313), ABVC BioPharma Inc. generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), -$7.9M in net income, and -$3.0M in free cash flow against $21.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ABVC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ABVC last traded at $1.04 (-4.59% on volume of 34,884 shares), positioning the stock +5.05% above its 50-day simple moving average ($0.99) and -17.46% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.26). Across its 52-week range of $0.71 to $3.06, ABVC sits at the 14.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.17).

ABVC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ABVC stock right now?

ABVC BioPharma Inc. (ABVC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 34/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is ABVC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ABVC's 12-month base price target is $0.93 (range $0.73 to $3.21), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $213.66 -0.80% AAPL $348.91 +1.48% MSFT $530.14 -0.16% TSLA $403.30 -0.23% PLTR $196.42 -0.20% SOFI $17.61 +2.74% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%