Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$30.47 +3.01% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $15.94B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (13)Whales (10)SEC (15)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$37 Bull$31 Base$24 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:63% Call Buyers ($2.8M)
37% PutsMax Pain: $30.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How WMG Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$539.0M (8% FCF Margin)
Revenue$6.71BGross Profit $3.08B (45.8%)Cost of Sales $3.63BOp Profit $694.0M (10.3%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $2.38BNet Profit$365.0M (5.4%)Tax/Other $329.0M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $6.04B
FY24
Rev $6.43B
FY25
Rev $6.71B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$6.71B45.8%10.3%$365.0M$539.0M13.4%
FY 2024$6.43B47.8%12.8%$435.0M$638.0M17.6%
FY 2023$6.04B44%13.1%$430.0M$415.3M11.8%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring WMG)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of WMG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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WMG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.31%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $30.80H $31.10L $30.35C $30.62VOL 2.13M
RES: $32.46SUP: $27.90SMA50: $28.70SMA200: $28.57
$36.18$33.02$29.86$26.69$23.53RES $32.46SUP $27.90$30.622026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WMG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
32.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WMG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WMG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WMG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

WMG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), WMG converted $6.7B of revenue into a 45.8% gross margin, 10.3% operating margin, and $539.0M in free cash flow (8% FCF margin).