Waste Connections Inc. (WCN) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$181.97 +1.23% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Waste Connections Inc. (WCN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $45.52B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (13)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$221 Bull$187 Base$146 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:54% Call Buyers ($4.5M)
46% PutsMax Pain: $178.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How WCN Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$1.23B (13% FCF Margin)
Revenue$9.47BGross Profit $4.01B (42.4%)Cost of Sales $5.46BOp Profit $1.71B (18.1%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $2.30BNet Profit$1.08B (11.4%)Tax/Other $633.6M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $8.02B
FY24
Rev $8.92B
FY25
Rev $9.47B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$9.47B42.4%18.1%$1.08B$1.23B9.7%
FY 2024$8.92B41.8%12%$617.6M$1.17B6.4%
FY 2023$8.02B44%15.4%$762.8M$1.77B6.5%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring WCN)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of WCN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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WCN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.75%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $185.7H $188.2L $182.8C $184.1VOL 1.86M
RES: $204.1SUP: $142.4SMA50: $163.3SMA200: $163.5
$191.1$179.1$167.1$155.2$143.2RES $204.1SUP $142.4$184.12026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WCN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
31.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WCN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WCN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WCN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

WCN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Waste Connections Inc. (WCN)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), WCN converted $9.5B of revenue into a 42.4% gross margin, 18.1% operating margin, and $1.2B in free cash flow (13% FCF margin).