Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$327.96 -1.20% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (41% profit margin, 26% return on capital) with steady institutional support. Even if the broader market gets choppy, the company’s underlying cash engine and big-money support put the odds in buyers’ favor.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $22.62B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510070
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B
Cash (19)Whales (10)SEC (15)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$575 Bull$346 Base$269 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:53% Call Buyers ($2.4M)
47% PutsMax Pain: $321.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
53% Calls / 47% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.9x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$321.00
-2.12% vs. current $327.96 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±7%
Expected event band around $327.96

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TPL)

$310
5,975C / 12,324P
$320
5,975C / 12,324P
$330
13,973C / 12,324P
$340
13,973C / 5,327P
$350
13,973C / 5,327P
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading TPL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Exact institutional whale strikes & implied earnings range on TPL this week
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TPL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.24%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $326.2H $333.1L $326.0C $331.7VOL 480.6K
RES: $356.1SUP: $317.9SMA50: $353.3SMA200: $401.7
$493.3$447.6$402.0$356.3$310.6RES $356.1SUP $317.9$331.72026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TPL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
34.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TPL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TPL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TPL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

TPL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TPL's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in TPL show 53% bullish call premium versus 47% put premium, centered near a $321 max-pain strike.