Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$144.27 +3.14% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Toll Brothers Inc. (TOL) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (-30% profit margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support. Even if the broader market gets choppy, the company’s underlying cash engine and big-money support put the odds in buyers’ favor.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $13.29B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510070
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk A-
Cash (15)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (17)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$179 Bull$152 Base$118 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:61% Call Buyers ($2.7M)
39% PutsMax Pain: $141.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
61% Calls / 39% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.65x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$141.00
-2.27% vs. current $144.27 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±6.9%
Expected event band around $144.27

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TOL)

$135
6,876C / 10,227P
$140
6,876C / 10,227P
$145
16,082C / 10,227P
$150
16,082C / 4,420P
$155
16,082C / 4,420P
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading TOL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Exact institutional whale strikes & implied earnings range on TOL this week
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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TOL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.68%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $144.2H $147.3L $143.3C $146.0VOL 1.36M
RES: $132.8SUP: $118.4SMA50: $137.9SMA200: $144.1
$169.2$156.8$144.3$131.8$119.3RES $132.8SUP $118.4$146.02026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TOL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-1.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TOL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TOL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TOL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

TOL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TOL's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in TOL show 61% bullish call premium versus 39% put premium, centered near a $141 max-pain strike.