iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$81.84 +0.43% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $54.00B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk D+
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (7)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.5% Base Target
$97 Bull$82 Base$64 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:57% Call Buyers ($5.5M)
43% PutsMax Pain: $82.00
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
3.1% Total Yield
1.3% Cash ($1.06/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
24.9% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (8.2% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $21,992

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $682/yr
$10.8K
Yr 1
$11.7K
Yr 2
$12.7K
Yr 3
$13.7K
Yr 4
$14.8K
Yr 5
$16.0K
Yr 6
$17.4K
Yr 7
$18.8K
Yr 8
$20.3K
Yr 9
$22.0K
Yr 10
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher + Senior Cash-Flow & Income Strategist

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Collecting Safe Yield & Upside in TLT & Top A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on TLT and its top sector rival
  • ✓The Top 5 Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with heavy executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes free daily Morning Market Weather & signal upgrade/downgrade dispatch
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
TLT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.41%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $81.86H $82.03L $81.38C $81.84VOL 41.05M
RES: $79.50SUP: $74.77SMA50: $80.50SMA200: $84.62
$89.00$85.60$82.19$78.78$75.37RES $79.50SUP $74.77$81.842026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TLT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
DEVELOPING · Long-Bond Auction Tail Base Watch

Trigger: $83.56 • Invalidation: $79.55

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TLT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video 💡 One Event, Five Markets: 10Y Real Yields vs. SPY, TLT, GLD, USO & IBIT (soren-halewick) 💡 Starter Kit: Rate-Cut & Treasury Duration Proxies (soren-halewick)
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TLT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

TLT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does TLT pay a dividend and is it safe?

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) offers a 1.3% cash dividend yield ($1.06 annualized) and 3.1% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.