Smurfit WestRock plc (SW) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$42.53 +5.46% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Smurfit WestRock plc (SW) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $22.31B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B+
Cash (11)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$55 Bull$44 Base$34 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:65% Call Buyers ($2.9M)
35% PutsMax Pain: $42.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How SW Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$1.99B (6.4% FCF Margin)
Revenue$31.18BGross Profit $6.04B (19.4%)Cost of Sales $25.14BOp Profit $1.72B (5.5%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $4.32BNet Profit$699.0M (2.2%)Tax/Other $1.02B

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $12.09B
FY24
Rev $21.11B
FY25
Rev $31.18B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$31.18B19.4%5.5%$699.0M$1.99B4.6%
FY 2024$21.11B19.9%4.8%$319.0M$533.1M2.8%
FY 2023$12.09B44%11.3%$825.0M$1.01B12.4%
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring SW)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of SW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
SW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.24%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $42.34H $43.11L $41.82C $43.09VOL 5.25M
RES: $44.12SUP: $38.99SMA50: $43.99SMA200: $43.45
$53.14$48.37$43.60$38.82$34.05RES $44.12SUP $38.99$43.092026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

SW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
24.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +47.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on SW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for SW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for SW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

SW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Smurfit WestRock plc (SW)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), SW converted $31.2B of revenue into a 19.4% gross margin, 5.5% operating margin, and $2.0B in free cash flow (6.4% FCF margin).