Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$130.35 +0.42% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ) receives a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (66/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+235.3% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $22.06B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510066
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$177 Bull$135 Base$105 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:54% Call Buyers ($2.4M)
46% PutsMax Pain: $128.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
54% Calls / 46% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.84x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$128.00
-1.8% vs. current $130.35 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±7.2%
Expected event band around $130.35

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (STZ)

$120
6,087C / 12,062P
$125
6,087C / 12,062P
$130
14,236C / 12,062P
$135
14,236C / 5,213P
$140
14,236C / 5,213P
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Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring STZ)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of STZ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
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STZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.57%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $132.4H $135.4L $132.0C $135.3VOL 3.42M
RES: $140.0SUP: $105.1SMA50: $125.4SMA200: $141.8
$161.0$147.4$133.7$120.0$106.4RES $140.0SUP $105.1$135.32026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

STZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
4.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on STZ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for STZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for STZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

STZ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is STZ's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in STZ show 54% bullish call premium versus 46% put premium, centered near a $128 max-pain strike.