Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$196.42 -0.20% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. Cash-backed 27% return on capital boosted by $637.6M (W9128Z26FA001) in obligated U.S. government contracts. Even if the broader market gets choppy, the company’s underlying cash engine and big-money support put the odds in buyers’ favor.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $442.43B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk D
Cash (19)Whales (17)SEC (13)Macro (14)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+10.1% Base Target
$232 Bull$216 Base$186 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:84% Call Buyers ($41.4M)
16% PutsMax Pain: $140.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How PLTR Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$2.10B (46.9% FCF Margin)
Revenue$4.48BGross Profit $3.69B (82.4%)Cost of Sales $789.2MOp Profit $1.41B (31.6%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $2.27BNet Profit$1.63B (36.3%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY21
Rev $1.54B
FY22
Rev $1.91B
FY23
Rev $2.23B
FY24
Rev $2.87B
FY25
Rev $4.48B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$4.48B82.4%31.6%$1.63B$2.10B18.7%
FY 2024$2.87B80.3%10.8%$462.2M$1.14B8.4%
FY 2023$2.23B80.6%5.4%$209.8M$697.1M3.6%
FY 2022$1.91B78.6%-8.5%-$373.7M$183.7M-14.2%
FY 2021$1.54B78%-26.7%-$520.4M$321.2M-40.5%
FY 2020$1.09B67.7%-107.4%-$1.17B-$308.8M-100%
SEC 10-K YEAR-OVER-YEAR FINE-PRINT DIFF SCANNERRisk Trajectory: ESCALATING

Palantir's FY2025 10-K (accession 0001321655-26-000011) broadens forward-looking downside language around macro headwinds by formally incorporating tariff risks and trade disruptions into operational disclosures. Concurrently, legal risk language has expanded to explicitly cover autonomous 'agentic AI models' and heightened scrutiny of leadership, alongside an explicit admission of growth rate deceleration and contract realization risks across maturing customer segments.

AGENTIC AI MODEL LIABILITY & OPERATIONAL RISKS (MEDIUM)

Management expanded liability defenses beyond passive LLMs to explicitly capture 'agentic AI' and operationalized autonomous software execution. Autonomous tool-calling and agentic orchestration introduce critical enterprise liabilities (e.g., unintended data manipulation or autonomous defense system execution errors), signaling elevated regulatory scrutiny and product defect warranty exposure.

CONTRACT REALIZATION & GROWTH VARIABILITY EXPOSURE (CRITICAL)

Legal counsel removed the legacy net-loss narrative and substituted direct risk warnings regarding contract value shortfalls and growth rate deceleration. Management is insulating the company against future revenue recognition misses caused by customer pilot drop-offs, terminations for convenience, and variable monetization across non-defense customer cohorts.

GLOBAL TRADE FRICTION & TARIFF HEADWINDS (MEDIUM)

The direct introduction of 'potential or actual imposition of tariffs or other impacts on trade relations' shifts risk framing from interest rate sensitivity toward cross-border commerce and supply chain friction. This flags downside drag for allied international defense deployments and enterprise expansion in EMEA/APAC subject to retaliatory tariffs or sovereign data export restrictions.

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PLTR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +27.79%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $197.9H $201.8L $180.8C $184.1VOL 104.22M
RES: $220.0SUP: $105.1SMA50: $186.9SMA200: $153.6
$220.4$189.5$158.6$127.7$96.78RES $220.0SUP $105.1$184.12026-05-012026-06-122026-07-312026-09-112026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PLTR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
+ 4.67% YoY Shares

SEC XBRL FY2024 → FY2025: Active share-count expansion (monitor SBC & convertibles).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +78.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
TRIGGERED · Post-Gap High-Tight Consolidation

Trigger: $180.06 • Invalidation: $164.78

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →
PLTR → LMT Confirmed Filing
Palantir Gotham/AIP and Maven Smart System software integrate with Lockheed Martin combat management systems (including Aegis/maritime modernization) under DoD CJADC2 software-defined warfare budgets.

PLTR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), PLTR converted $4.5B of revenue into a 82.4% gross margin, 31.6% operating margin, and $2.1B in free cash flow (46.9% FCF margin).