Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$254.53 +2.45% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $22.68B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510067
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (16)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target
$313 Bull$265 Base$207 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:60% Call Buyers ($2.7M)
40% PutsMax Pain: $249.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How PKG Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$728.6M (8.1% FCF Margin)
Revenue$8.99BGross Profit $1.89B (21%)Cost of Sales $7.10BOp Profit $1.11B (12.3%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $782.6MNet Profit$774.1M (8.6%)Tax/Other $332.9M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $7.80B
FY24
Rev $8.38B
FY25
Rev $8.99B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$8.99B21%12.3%$774.1M$728.6M10.9%
FY 2024$8.38B21.3%13.1%$805.1M$521.5M14%
FY 2023$7.80B44%13.8%$765.2M$964.0M11.3%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring PKG)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of PKG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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PKG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +20.32%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $255.8H $257.2L $253.8C $256.8VOL 555.6K
RES: $283.2SUP: $225.5SMA50: $237.4SMA200: $229.4
$264.0$247.4$230.9$214.3$197.8RES $283.2SUP $225.5$256.82026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

PKG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
22.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on PKG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for PKG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for PKG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

PKG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Packaging Corporation of America (PKG)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), PKG converted $9.0B of revenue into a 21% gross margin, 12.3% operating margin, and $728.6M in free cash flow (8.1% FCF margin).