Why ORI Stock advanced +1.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$38.44 +1.88% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Old Republic International Corporation (ORI) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $9.28B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$49 Bull$39 Base$31 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:61% Call Buyers ($2.8M)
39% PutsMax Pain: $38.00
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Why ORI Stock advanced +1.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Old Republic International Corporation (ORI) advanced +1.88% to $38.44 as options desks priced 61% call premium vs. 39% put protection around the $38 max-pain magnet. Solid 41% profit margin (7% return on capital), mixed timing at 10x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 18% of its 52-week range ($36.65 – $46.76) with RSI-14 at 46.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Whale Options Positioning: $2.8M in bullish call flow vs. $1.7M in put flow (Put/Call 0.63x, implied earnings swing ±6.9%).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 44% gross margin and $753.2M annual free cash flow.
Live ORI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 9d ago
Old Republic International Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

Old Republic International (NYSE:ORI) reported third-quarter 2026 net operating income of $181 million, or $0.73 per share, compared with $197 million, or $0.78 per share, a year earlier. Consolidated pre-tax operating i

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ORI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.58%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $38.99H $38.99L $38.40C $38.52VOL 1.89M
RES: $47.81SUP: $35.86SMA50: $39.65SMA200: $40.43
$45.21$42.89$40.57$38.25$35.93RES $47.81SUP $35.86$38.522026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ORI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-1.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ORI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ORI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ORI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

ORI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is ORI stock moving today?

Why ORI Stock advanced +1.88% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 41% profit margin (7% return on capital), mixed timing at 10x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.