Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$221.89 -0.80% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $10.89B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk A-
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (17)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
$406 Bull$233 Base$182 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:51% Call Buyers ($2.3M)
49% PutsMax Pain: $217.00
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
33.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
26.00>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE38% OF RANGE
L: $119$221.89H: $386
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (50% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: A-RQD 33 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on ONTO

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (70)

5.6% ROIC with 49.7% gross margin and 2.75% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 26.00 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
NEUTRAL (65)

Put/Call 0.96x with 22/40 institutional & insider flow.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ONTO
  • ✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Priced at 185x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
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Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live ONTO Tape Review)

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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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ONTO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.69%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $204.2H $210.8L $195.2C $201.6VOL 1.08M
RES: $330.1SUP: $188.2SMA50: $264.6SMA200: $261.0
$402.0$337.7$273.5$209.3$145.1RES $330.1SUP $188.2$201.62026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ONTO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ONTO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ONTO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ONTO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

ONTO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ONTO stock right now?

Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 50% profit margin (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 185x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is ONTO's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ONTO's 12-month base price target is $232.87 (range $181.64 to $405.78), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.