Why ONB Stock surged +2.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$25.23 +2.02% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Old National Bancorp (ONB) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 59/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $9.54B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510059
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+
Cash (10)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (11)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.4% Base Target
$30 Bull$25 Base$20 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:58% Call Buyers ($2.6M)
42% PutsMax Pain: $25.00
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ONB Stock surged +2.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Old National Bancorp (ONB) surged +2.02% to $25.23 as options desks priced 58% call premium vs. 42% put protection around the $25 max-pain magnet. Solid 41% profit margin (2% return on capital), mixed timing at 14x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 73% of its 52-week range ($19.6 – $27.36) with RSI-14 at 50.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Whale Options Positioning: $2.6M in bullish call flow vs. $1.9M in put flow (Put/Call 0.72x, implied earnings swing ±6.8%).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 0% gross margin and $637.4M annual free cash flow.
Live ONB Headlines & Catalysts
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Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live ONB Tape Review)

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ONB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.67%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $25.37H $25.37L $24.86C $25.09VOL 3.92M
RES: $28.51SUP: $23.34SMA50: $25.22SMA200: $24.62
$27.71$26.27$24.84$23.40$21.96RES $28.51SUP $23.34$25.092026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ONB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
6.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ONB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ONB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ONB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

ONB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is ONB stock moving today?

Why ONB Stock surged +2.02% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 41% profit margin (2% return on capital), mixed timing at 14x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.