Why NXST Stock surged +3.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$170.10 +3.41% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.24B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Cash (13)Whales (10)SEC (15)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$267 Bull$174 Base$136 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:60% Call Buyers ($2.7M)
40% PutsMax Pain: $167.00
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Why NXST Stock surged +3.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Nexstar Media Group Inc. (NXST) surged +3.41% to $170.10 as options desks priced 60% call premium vs. 40% put protection around the $167 max-pain magnet. Solid 41% profit margin (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 63x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 17% of its 52-week range ($153.17 – $254.3) with RSI-14 at 59.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Whale Options Positioning: $2.7M in bullish call flow vs. $1.8M in put flow (Put/Call 0.68x, implied earnings swing ±6.9%).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 44% gross margin and $743.0M annual free cash flow.
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NXST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.63%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $170.3H $174.0L $169.0C $171.4VOL 278.5K
RES: $184.1SUP: $143.6SMA50: $168.0SMA200: $192.4
$221.1$202.7$184.3$165.9$147.5RES $184.1SUP $143.6$171.42026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NXST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
42.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NXST today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NXST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NXST today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

NXST Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is NXST stock moving today?

Why NXST Stock surged +3.41% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 41% profit margin (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 63x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.