Annaly Capital Management Inc. (NLY) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$18.47 +0.98% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Annaly Capital Management Inc. (NLY) receives a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (57/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+181.9% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $14.55B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (5)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
$26 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:53% Call Buyers ($2.4M)
47% PutsMax Pain: $18.00
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
13.3% Total Yield
11.5% Cash ($2.12/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
41/100 • ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
96% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (16.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $47,253

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $6,285/yr
$11.7K
Yr 1
$13.6K
Yr 2
$15.9K
Yr 3
$18.6K
Yr 4
$21.7K
Yr 5
$25.4K
Yr 6
$29.7K
Yr 7
$34.6K
Yr 8
$40.5K
Yr 9
$47.3K
Yr 10
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring NLY)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of NLY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
NLY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.39%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $18.58H $18.70L $18.15C $18.23VOL 13.04M
RES: $24.97SUP: $17.19SMA50: $20.30SMA200: $21.95
$24.34$22.54$20.74$18.94$17.14RES $24.97SUP $17.19$18.232026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NLY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-7.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NLY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NLY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NLY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

NLY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does NLY pay a dividend and is it safe?

Annaly Capital Management Inc. (NLY) offers a 11.5% cash dividend yield ($2.12 annualized) and 13.3% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH.