Why MTSI Stock dropped -3.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$252.42 -3.26% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc. (MTSI) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $19.28B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (15)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$440 Bull$260 Base$203 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:53% Call Buyers ($2.4M)
47% PutsMax Pain: $247.00
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Why MTSI Stock dropped -3.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc. (MTSI) dropped -3.26% to $252.42 as options desks priced 53% call premium vs. 47% put protection around the $247 max-pain magnet. Solid 55% profit margin (7% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 39% of its 52-week range ($144.06 – $418.9) with RSI-14 at 38 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Whale Options Positioning: $2.4M in bullish call flow vs. $2.1M in put flow (Put/Call 0.87x, implied earnings swing ±7.7%).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 54.7% gross margin and $192.8M annual free cash flow.
Live MTSI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 1d ago
2 semiconductor stocks to keep an eye on and 1 we question

Semiconductors are the core infrastructure powering the Information Age. Still, they’re subject to swings in the broader economy because customers often stockpile chips ahead of demand, and investors seem to believe that

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MTSI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.77%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $233.1H $241.3L $226.2C $234.4VOL 2.83M
RES: $365.1SUP: $223.3SMA50: $275.9SMA200: $283.5
$435.5$366.7$298.0$229.3$160.5RES $365.1SUP $223.3$234.42026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MTSI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
17.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +32.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTSI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTSI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MTSI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

MTSI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

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Why is MTSI stock moving today?

Why MTSI Stock dropped -3.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 55% profit margin (7% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.