Vail Resorts Inc. (MTN) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$154.53 +1.70% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Vail Resorts Inc. (MTN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $5.51B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target
$185 Bull$157 Base$122 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $151.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
56% Calls / 44% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.77x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$151.00
-2.28% vs. current $154.53 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±7.1%
Expected event band around $154.53

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MTN)

$145
6,313C / 11,538P
$150
6,313C / 11,538P
$155
14,764C / 11,538P
$160
14,764C / 4,987P
$165
14,764C / 4,987P
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading MTN & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Exact institutional whale strikes & implied earnings range on MTN this week
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MTN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.38%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $156.7H $156.7L $150.8C $151.8VOL 432.9K
RES: $155.0SUP: $133.0SMA50: $143.3SMA200: $138.2
$163.3$151.6$139.8$128.0$116.2RES $155.0SUP $133.0$151.82026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MTN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
11.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MTN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MTN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MTN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

MTN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MTN's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in MTN show 56% bullish call premium versus 44% put premium, centered near a $151 max-pain strike.