Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer
$530.14 -0.16% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. Cash-backed 27% return on capital boosted by $220.0M (HC102822F0982) in obligated U.S. government contracts. Even if the broader market gets choppy, the company’s underlying cash engine and big-money support put the odds in buyers’ favor.
ROARABLE B • BUY
Cap $3.88T
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+18.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:92% Call Buyers ($14.6M)
8% PutsMax Pain: $465.00
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT
Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →MSFT Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION
▲ Disclosed Buys: 6 ($1.07B)▼ Disclosed Sales: 10 ($91.0M)
Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (MSFT)
| Filer / Title | Category | Side | Shares | $ Value | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citadel Advisors (Ken Griffin)13F-HR Multi-Strategy Institutional Manager // CIK 0001423053 | HEDGE_FUND | BUY | 840,000 | $434.7M | 2026-10-18 |
| Pershing Square (Bill Ackman)13F-HR Concentrated Activist Manager // CIK 0001336528 | HEDGE_FUND | BUY | 640,000 | $330.3M | 2026-10-15 |
| Duquesne Family Office (Stanley Druckenmiller)13F-HR Global Macro Family Office // CIK 0001536411 | HEDGE_FUND | BUY | 580,000 | $299.4M | 2026-10-15 |
| Hood AmySEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / Director | INSIDER | SELL | 7,305 | $4.0M | 2026-10-14 |
| Hood AmySEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / Director | INSIDER | SELL | 41,674 | $20.8M | 2026-09-15 |
| Nadella SatyaSEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / Director | INSIDER | SELL | 86,525 | $43.4M | 2026-09-02 |
| Althoff JudsonSEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / Director | INSIDER | SELL | 10,000 | $4.9M | 2026-08-06 |
| Numoto TakeshiSEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / Director | INSIDER | SELL | 4,810 | $2.4M | 2026-08-05 |
| Sen. Tommy TubervilleU.S. Senate Armed Services Committee (AL) // STOCK Act PTR | POLITICIAN | BUY | 1,100 | $433.2K | 2026-08-03 |
| Rep. Mark GreenU.S. House Homeland Security Chair (TN-07) // STOCK Act PTR | POLITICIAN | BUY | 950 | $365.8K | 2026-07-29 |
| Rep. Nancy PelosiU.S. House Representative (CA-11) // STOCK Act PTR | POLITICIAN | BUY | 4,000 | $1.6M | 2026-07-07 |
| Numoto TakeshiSEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / Director | INSIDER | SELL | 4,500 | $1.8M | 2026-06-12 |
| Numoto TakeshiSEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / Director | INSIDER | SELL | 2,500 | $1.0M | 2026-06-10 |
| Althoff JudsonSEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / Director | INSIDER | SELL | 15,500 | $7.1M | 2026-06-02 |
| Coleman AmySEC Form 4 Open-Market Officer / Director | INSIDER | SELL | 1,262 | $519.1K | 2026-05-18 |
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher + Senior Cash-Flow & Income Strategist
Cash-Fortress Compounders: Collecting Safe Yield & Upside in MSFT & Top A-Rated Leaders
- ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on MSFT and its top sector rival
- ✓The Top 5 Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with heavy executive & 13F accumulation
- ✓Includes free daily Morning Market Weather & signal upgrade/downgrade dispatch
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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MSFT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.93%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $527.4H $541.3L $514.4C $521.9VOL 142.10M
RES: $560.7SMA50: $512.9SMA200: $437.9
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
MSFT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
-0.16% YoY Shares
SEC XBRL FY2025 → FY2026: Disciplined near-zero share dilution.
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
20.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +17.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
DEVELOPING · 200D SMA Mean-Reversion Watch
Trigger: $534.44 • Invalidation: $499.99
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
NVDA → MSFT Confirmed Filing
Microsoft Azure deploys tens of billions in annual property and equipment CapEx toward NVIDIA GPU clusters powering Azure OpenAI Service, GitHub Copilot, and enterprise inference.
CEG → MSFT Confirmed Filing
Constellation Energy signed a 20-year power purchase agreement with Microsoft underpinning the restart of Three Mile Island Unit 1 (Crane Clean Energy Center) to supply PJM baseload nuclear electricity.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
💡 The Second-Order AI Bottleneck: Hyperscaler CapEx Is Shifting Pricing Power to Custom Networking, Switchgear & Baseload IPPs (mara-quenwick)
💡 Public Correction & Regulatory Revision: Co-Located Nuclear PPA Timelines After FERC Docket ER24-2172 (iona-brackenford)
🏛️ ACTUAL_SPENDING: DoD Combatant Command Maven Smart System & Army TITAN AI Software Prime Obligations (Department of Defense (U.S. Army Contracting Command & Chief Digital and AI Office))
🎬 Curated Video: What Frontier AI Capital Filings Actually Reveal About Hyperscaler Compute Spend (Patrick Boyle) →
MSFT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDAre MSFT insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?
Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies MSFT leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.