Why MPC Stock slipped -1.87% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$432.51 -1.87% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $121.46B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510065
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target
$526 Bull$446 Base$348 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:52% Call Buyers ($11.3M)
48% PutsMax Pain: $424.00
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Why MPC Stock slipped -1.87% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) slipped -1.87% to $432.51 as options desks priced 52% call premium vs. 48% put protection around the $424 max-pain magnet. Solid 10% profit margin (17% return on capital), mixed timing at 30x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 81% of its 52-week range ($161.93 – $493.98) with RSI-14 at 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Whale Options Positioning: $11.3M in bullish call flow vs. $10.6M in put flow (Put/Call 0.94x, implied earnings swing ±7.4%).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 10% gross margin and $4.8B annual free cash flow.
Live MPC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 2d ago
It’s Time to Sell the Refiners

After a stellar year for the stocks, investors who’ve been lucky enough to own them ought to screw on their gas caps and drive away.

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Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live MPC Tape Review)

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MPC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +79.12%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $435.0H $446.1L $433.9C $444.7VOL 2.08M
RES: $515.0SUP: $380.7SMA50: $417.8SMA200: $290.5
$515.1$427.7$340.4$253.1$165.8RES $515.0SUP $380.7$444.72026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MPC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
23.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MPC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MPC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MPC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

MPC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is MPC stock moving today?

Why MPC Stock slipped -1.87% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 10% profit margin (17% return on capital), mixed timing at 30x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.