Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc. (MDGL) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$431.70 +0.16% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Madrigal Pharmaceuticals Inc. (MDGL) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $9.97B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (9)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$646 Bull$436 Base$340 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($2.5M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $423.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
56% Calls / 44% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.78x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$423.00
-2.02% vs. current $431.70 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±7.2%
Expected event band around $431.70

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (MDGL)

$410
6,313C / 11,538P
$420
6,313C / 11,538P
$430
14,764C / 11,538P
$440
14,764C / 4,987P
$450
14,764C / 4,987P
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading MDGL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

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MDGL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.82%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $431.6H $437.8L $425.0C $430.4VOL 251.6K
RES: $531.9SUP: $395.1SMA50: $498.7SMA200: $500.0
$579.6$537.7$495.8$453.9$412.0RES $531.9SUP $395.1$430.42026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MDGL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
17.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MDGL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MDGL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MDGL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

MDGL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is MDGL's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in MDGL show 56% bullish call premium versus 44% put premium, centered near a $423 max-pain strike.