Li Auto Inc. (LI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$11.14 -2.19% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Li Auto Inc. (LI) receives a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (54/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+120.0% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $10.89B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (3)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (17)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$22 Bull$11 Base$9 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:50% Call Buyers ($2.2M)
50% PutsMax Pain: $11.00
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your LI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $11.14: 897.7 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $8.53
$7,657
$-2,343 (-23.4%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $10.94
$9,820
$-180 (-1.8%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $22.00
$19,749
+$9,749 (+97.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2169%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1058%C
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring LI)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of LI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
LI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.14%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $11.02H $11.06L $10.92C $11.03VOL 1.88M
RES: $11.85SUP: $9.75SMA50: $11.66SMA200: $14.83
$21.22$18.36$15.50$12.63$9.77RES $11.85SUP $9.75$11.032026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -18.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

LI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is LI's 12-month stock price target?

Li Auto Inc. (LI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $10.94 (-1.8% from $11.14), with a bull-case target of $22 and a bear-case floor of $8.53.

Is LI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates LI D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 54/100.