Why KMX Stock surged +4.04% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$56.17 +4.04% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

CarMax Inc (KMX) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $7.97B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B+
Cash (11)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$69 Bull$58 Base$45 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:58% Call Buyers ($2.6M)
42% PutsMax Pain: $55.00
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Why KMX Stock surged +4.04% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

CarMax Inc (KMX) surged +4.04% to $56.17 as options desks priced 58% call premium vs. 42% put protection around the $55 max-pain magnet. Solid 11% profit margin (2% return on capital), mixed timing at 32x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 74% of its 52-week range ($30.26 – $65.28) with RSI-14 at 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Whale Options Positioning: $2.6M in bullish call flow vs. $1.9M in put flow (Put/Call 0.71x, implied earnings swing ±7.4%).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 10.8% gross margin and $1.2B annual free cash flow.
Live KMX Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 5d ago
Value Realization Drives CarMax (KMX) Position Sale

Investment management company Vulcan Value Partners recently released its third-quarter 2026 investor letter. The letter can be downloaded here. The portfolio reported a strong quarter, with all strategies except Small C

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KMX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +41.39%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $55.73H $57.00L $54.92C $55.58VOL 2.61M
RES: $71.91SUP: $47.29SMA50: $57.09SMA200: $49.38
$67.39$58.66$49.92$41.19$32.46RES $71.91SUP $47.29$55.582026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
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KMX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KMX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KMX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
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Why is KMX stock moving today?

Why KMX Stock surged +4.04% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 11% profit margin (2% return on capital), mixed timing at 32x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.