Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$49.15 +3.45% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $11.29B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (10)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$70 Bull$50 Base$39 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:63% Call Buyers ($2.8M)
37% PutsMax Pain: $48.00
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your JEF Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $49.15: 203.5 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $38.85
$7,904
$-2,096 (-21.0%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $49.81
$10,134
+$134 (+1.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $69.93
$14,228
+$4,228 (+42.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$5274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$6669%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$4458%C
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Trading Systems Desk

Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live JEF Tape Review)

  • ✓Live breakdown of today’s highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts
  • ✓1 urgent Red-Light accounting trap to cut from your watchlist immediately
  • ✓Bring any ticker to live Q&A—we run it through the 5-Pillar RQD Radar on screen
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
JEF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -4.36%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $48.58H $48.67L $45.51C $46.12VOL 3.07M
RES: $53.77SUP: $39.77SMA50: $48.28SMA200: $50.88
$65.47$59.29$53.11$46.93$40.75RES $53.77SUP $39.77$46.122026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JEF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-5.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JEF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JEF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JEF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

JEF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is JEF's 12-month stock price target?

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $49.81 (+1.3% from $49.15), with a bull-case target of $69.93 and a bear-case floor of $38.85.

Is JEF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates JEF C- (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 61/100.