Elastic N.V. (ESTC) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$103.30 -3.08% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Elastic N.V. (ESTC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $10.95B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B+
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$126 Bull$107 Base$83 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:52% Call Buyers ($2.3M)
48% PutsMax Pain: $101.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ESTC Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$321.8M (18.5% FCF Margin)
Revenue$1.74BGross Profit $1.32B (76.1%)Cost of Sales $416.3MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $1.32BNet Profit$367.8M (21.1%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $1.27B
FY24
Rev $1.48B
FY25
Rev $1.74B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$1.74B76.1%-1.9%$367.8M$321.8M-3.3%
FY 2024$1.48B74.4%-3.7%$367.8K$261.8M-4.6%
FY 2023$1.27B44%-10.3%-$108.1K$91.7M-2.8%
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring ESTC)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of ESTC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
ESTC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +109.52%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $101.4H $101.4L $95.83C $97.28VOL 1.49M
RES: $107.5SUP: $95.45SMA50: $92.26SMA200: $67.23
$112.4$94.21$76.03$57.86$39.68RES $107.5SUP $95.45$97.282026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ESTC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
23.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ESTC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ESTC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ESTC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

ESTC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Elastic N.V. (ESTC)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ESTC converted $1.7B of revenue into a 76.1% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $321.8M in free cash flow (18.5% FCF margin).