Why EC Stock dropped -2.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$17.28 -2.26% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $35.52B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$21 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:51% Call Buyers ($3.3M)
49% PutsMax Pain: $17.00
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Why EC Stock dropped -2.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) dropped -2.26% to $17.28 as options desks priced 51% call premium vs. 49% put protection around the $17 max-pain magnet. Solid 41% profit margin (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 33x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 88% of its 52-week range ($9.1 – $18.38) with RSI-14 at 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Whale Options Positioning: $3.3M in bullish call flow vs. $3.1M in put flow (Put/Call 0.96x, implied earnings swing ±6.8%).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 41% gross margin and $785.1M annual free cash flow.
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EC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.40%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $17.22H $17.48L $17.05C $17.19VOL 1.13M
RES: $18.73SUP: $15.86SMA50: $17.21SMA200: $15.10
$18.91$16.71$14.52$12.32$10.13RES $18.73SUP $15.86$17.192026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

EC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is EC stock moving today?

Why EC Stock dropped -2.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 41% profit margin (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 33x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.