Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$996.08 +1.36% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) earns a Roarable Rating of A- (Buy) with 83/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (13% profit margin, 42% return on capital) with steady institutional support. Even if the broader market gets choppy, the company’s underlying cash engine and big-money support put the odds in buyers’ favor.

ROARABLE A- • BUY Cap $448.57B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • A-
025507510083
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk A-
Cash (20)Whales (16)SEC (20)Macro (14)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+19.7% Base Target
$1281 Bull$1192 Base$1057 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:82% Call Buyers ($3.2M)
18% PutsMax Pain: $950.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2026 (10-K)

How COST Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$9.38B (3.1% FCF Margin)
Revenue$303.15BGross Profit $38.88B (12.8%)Cost of Sales $264.28BOp Profit $11.69B (3.9%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $27.19BNet Profit$9.23B (3%)Tax/Other $2.46B

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY22
Rev $226.95B
FY23
Rev $242.29B
FY24
Rev $254.45B
FY25
Rev $275.24B
FY26
Rev $303.15B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2026$303.15B12.8%3.9%$9.23B$9.38B42.4%
FY 2025$275.24B12.8%3.8%$8.10B$7.84B39.5%
FY 2024$254.45B12.6%3.6%$7.37B$6.63B37.4%
FY 2023$242.29B12.3%3.4%$6.29B$6.75B36%
FY 2022$226.95B12.2%3.4%$5.84B$3.50B36.2%
FY 2021$195.93B12.9%3.4%$5.01B$5.37B38.4%
SEC 10-K YEAR-OVER-YEAR FINE-PRINT DIFF SCANNERRisk Trajectory: STABLE

Costco Wholesale Corp's FY2026 Form 10-K (accession 0000909832-26-000093) reflects minor operational drift and geographic footprint expansion rather than severe structural balance-sheet distress. Key updates include incremental dilution in Canadian operating profit concentration from 84% to 83%, the addition of 'culture' preservation to membership loyalty risk factors, and expansion of mainland China digital storefront operations. Net business model risk and cash-conversion-cycle durability remain exceptionally sound.

NORTH AMERICAN GEOGRAPHIC OPERATING INCOME CONCENTRATION (LOW)

Operating income concentration in Canada and the U.S. contracted by 100 bps to 83%, demonstrating subtle profit diversification into international regions (such as Mexico, Japan, and Europe) while maintaining extreme exposure to California (26% of domestic sales).

WORKFORCE CULTURE PRESERVATION & BRAND EQUITY RISK (MEDIUM)

Legal counsel inserted 'and our culture' into core membership risk disclosures, reflecting internal anxieties over workforce friction, unionization pressures, or employee-turnover inflation following executive transitions that could jeopardize store-level operating efficiency.

CROSS-BORDER E-COMMERCE FOOTPRINT EXPANSION & CHINA EXPOSURE (LOW)

Management expanded digital direct-to-consumer infrastructure directly into mainland China, increasing cross-border data compliance, local IT platform overhead, and sovereign regulatory scrutiny under CAC rules.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring COST)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of COST's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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COST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.06%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $1,001.3H $1,021.3L $980.3C $1,012.3VOL 11.38M
SUP: $872.1SMA50: $943.3SMA200: $970.9
$1,111.4$1,049.6$987.7$925.8$863.9SUP $872.1$1,012.32026-05-012026-06-122026-07-312026-09-112026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

COST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
-0.08% YoY Shares

SEC XBRL FY2025 → FY2026: Disciplined near-zero share dilution.

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
35.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COST today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COST. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video 💡 Starter Kit: Cash-Fortress Zero-Dilution Compounders (ellis-vennor)
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for COST today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

COST Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST)?

In FY 2026 (10-K), COST converted $303.2B of revenue into a 12.8% gross margin, 3.9% operating margin, and $9.4B in free cash flow (3.1% FCF margin).