ConocoPhillips (COP) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$150.03 +0.65% NYSE β€’ Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

ConocoPhillips (COP) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sellβ€”but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $180.24B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- Β· Rk B+
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$185 Bull$157 Base$122 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:58% Call Buyers ($18.9M)
42% PutsMax Pain: $147.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
58% Calls / 42% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.72x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$147.00
-2.02% vs. current $150.03 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
Β±7.4%
Expected event band around $150.03

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (COP)

$140
6,538C / 11,013P
$145
6,538C / 11,013P
$150
15,291C / 11,013P
$155
15,291C / 4,760P
$160
15,291C / 4,760P
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading COP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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COP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +22.46%β–² RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $152.5H $154.3L $151.3C $154.0VOL 7.03M
RES: $151.8SUP: $131.2SMA50: $136.1SMA200: $121.3
$158.0$142.6$127.2$111.9$96.49RES $151.8SUP $131.2$154.02026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

COP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on COP today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for COP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for COP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’

COP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is COP's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in COP show 58% bullish call premium versus 42% put premium, centered near a $147 max-pain strike.