CME Group Inc. (CME) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$296.42 +0.81% NASDAQ β€’ Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

CME Group Inc. (CME) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sellβ€”but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $106.10B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk C+
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$355 Bull$300 Base$234 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:57% Call Buyers ($10.9M)
43% PutsMax Pain: $290.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
57% Calls / 43% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.75x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$290.00
-2.17% vs. current $296.42 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
Β±6.9%
Expected event band around $296.42

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CME)

$280
6,425C / 11,276P
$290
6,425C / 11,276P
$300
15,027C / 11,276P
$310
15,027C / 4,873P
$320
15,027C / 4,873P
ACTIVE TRADER & PROP FUNDING DESK

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading CME & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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CME // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.32%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $302.8H $306.7L $301.7C $303.1VOL 1.96M
RES: $311.5SUP: $260.5SMA50: $280.3SMA200: $280.2
$315.8$289.4$262.9$236.5$210.1RES $311.5SUP $260.5$303.12026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CME Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
19.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CME today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’
CME β†’ IBIT Confirmed Filing
Hedge funds executing delta-neutral cash-and-carry basis trades purchase spot IBIT shares while shorting regulated CME Bitcoin and Micro Bitcoin futures contracts, driving record CME crypto clearing volumes.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CME today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’

CME Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is CME's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in CME show 57% bullish call premium versus 43% put premium, centered near a $290 max-pain strike.