Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$91.16 +11.24% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $6.25B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (10)Whales (11)SEC (16)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$124 Bull$93 Base$73 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:72% Call Buyers ($3.3M)
28% PutsMax Pain: $89.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How CHDN Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$297.3M (10.2% FCF Margin)
Revenue$2.93BGross Profit $1.29B (44%)Cost of Sales $1.64BOp Profit $683.8M (23.4%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $603.6MNet Profit$383.0M (13.1%)Tax/Other $300.8M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $2.46B
FY24
Rev $2.73B
FY25
Rev $2.93B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$2.93B44%23.4%$383.0M$297.3M9.2%
FY 2024$2.73B44%25.9%$426.8M$355.0M9.7%
FY 2023$2.46B44%22.9%$417.3M$356.6M21.5%
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher & Guest Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring CHDN)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of CHDN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge setups institutions use when 10-year yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes instant 24/7 email alert whenever any of your stocks flip to Red
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
CHDN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.10%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $92.31H $94.91L $90.55C $94.83VOL 1.89M
RES: $95.74SUP: $71.67SMA50: $82.91SMA200: $88.16
$103.5$95.24$87.01$78.77$70.53RES $95.74SUP $71.67$94.832026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CHDN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CHDN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CHDN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CHDN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

CHDN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), CHDN converted $2.9B of revenue into a 44% gross margin, 23.4% operating margin, and $297.3M in free cash flow (10.2% FCF margin).