Why CENX Stock slipped -1.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$34.65 -1.28% NASDAQ • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Century Aluminum Company (CENX) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.43B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510066
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (15)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$74 Bull$36 Base$28 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:54% Call Buyers ($2.4M)
46% PutsMax Pain: $34.00
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Why CENX Stock slipped -1.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Century Aluminum Company (CENX) slipped -1.28% to $34.65 as options desks priced 54% call premium vs. 46% put protection around the $34 max-pain magnet. Solid 10% profit margin (11% return on capital), mixed timing at 86x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 21% of its 52-week range ($25.4 – $70.43) with RSI-14 at 42.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Whale Options Positioning: $2.4M in bullish call flow vs. $2.1M in put flow (Put/Call 0.86x, implied earnings swing ±7.2%).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 10.1% gross margin and $84.8M annual free cash flow.
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CENX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.30%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $33.56H $34.48L $33.01C $33.70VOL 1.10M
RES: $38.05SUP: $29.92SMA50: $39.04SMA200: $49.91
$73.21$61.70$50.19$38.69$27.18RES $38.05SUP $29.92$33.702026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CENX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CENX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CENX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CENX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

CENX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

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Why is CENX stock moving today?

Why CENX Stock slipped -1.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 10% profit margin (11% return on capital), mixed timing at 86x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.