BHP Group Limited American (BHP) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$81.82 -0.49% NYSE β€’ Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

BHP Group Limited American (BHP) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sellβ€”but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.

ROARABLE C β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $207.99B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C
025507510065
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ Β· Rk B+
Cash (11)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.2% Base Target
$104 Bull$84 Base$66 Bear
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WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:57% Call Buyers ($21.4M)
43% PutsMax Pain: $80.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
57% Calls / 43% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.75x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$80.00
-2.22% vs. current $81.82 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
Β±7.4%
Expected event band around $81.82

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (BHP)

$70
6,425C / 11,276P
$75
6,425C / 11,276P
$80
15,027C / 11,276P
$85
15,027C / 4,873P
$90
15,027C / 4,873P
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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Trading BHP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

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BHP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.18%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $79.33H $79.79L $78.57C $79.16VOL 3.28M
RES: $102.8SUP: $76.00SMA50: $86.82SMA200: $81.46
$101.3$90.72$80.19$69.66$59.13RES $102.8SUP $76.00$79.162026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BHP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BHP today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BHP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BHP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’

BHP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is BHP's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in BHP show 57% bullish call premium versus 43% put premium, centered near a $80 max-pain strike.